- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+132) Toronto (-160)
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The Cincinnati Reds (74-85) are set to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (77-82) at Rogers Centre this Sunday. Cincinnati enters the game with odds of +132, while the Blue Jays are favored at -160. The over/under total is currently at 8.5. Starting pitchers for the matchup include Brandon Williamson for the Reds and Spencer Miles for the Blue Jays.
Cincinnati has recorded a slugging percentage of .395 and has struck out 1,514 times, while also earning 549 walks. So far this season, the Reds have amassed 625 RBIs and 1,206 hits, leading to a batting average of .228. Additionally, the team has achieved 215 doubles and hit 211 home runs, scoring a total of 655 runs with an on-base percentage of .305. Overall, the Reds average 4.1 runs per game, ranking 26th in MLB.
The Reds exhibit a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.94, and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.45. This season, Reds pitchers have allowed 212 home runs and 814 runs (28th in MLB). Additionally, they have given up 1,381 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and have an ERA of 4.85 (28th in the league) with 1,273 strikeouts. They have issued 657 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.82 across the season.
This season, Reds pitchers have faced a runner on base 162 times and have made 187 high-leverage appearances. The bullpen boasts 88 holds (ranked 12th in the league) with a 65.6% save conversion rate, recording 42 saves out of 64 opportunities while 27.0% of inherited runners have scored. Over the course of the season, the Reds have utilized a total of 565 relief pitchers.
Cincinnati has converted 69.5% of balls put into play into outs across 12,675 innings, ranking them 19th in the league. The team has tallied 4,225 putouts, 1,274 assists, and 88 errors this season. Their fielding percentage stands at .984, placing them 20th in MLB, and they have executed 112 double plays.
Williamson has pitched 180 innings in his career, registering 143 strikeouts. With a career record of 10-9, he possesses a FIP of 4.47 and has faced 765 batters. His ERA is 4.54, allowing 91 earned runs, and maintaining a WHIP of 1.303 alongside 164 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and 71 walks.
The Blue Jays hold a team slugging percentage of .382 and average 4.00 runs per game (ranking 30th in the league). They have recorded 251 doubles, 448 walks, and 636 RBIs while hitting 150 home runs this season. Toronto has struck out 1,129 times (29th in the league) and has compiled a total of 1,327 hits, achieving an on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .248.
Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 683 runs this season with an ERA of 3.92 (613 earned runs). They have given up 165 home runs and permit 4.36 runs per nine innings (ranking 11th in the league). The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.295 and a FIP of 4.00, while their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (1,380 strikeouts to 586 walks). They rank 7th in MLB for hits allowed, totalling 1,239.
In 177 save situations, Toronto has recorded 104 holds and 17 blown saves. The bullpen has been called in during 68 save chances, successfully converting 51 saves. The relievers have inherited 247 runners, with a 25.9% scoring percentage. In high-leverage situations, Blue Jays relievers have appeared 190 times and faced 169 instances with runners on base, achieving a save percentage of 75.0% and sending 595 relievers to the mound this season.
The Blue Jays have pulled off 107 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983, which ranks 26th in the majors. Toronto has logged 1,334 assists, 97 errors, and 4,227 putouts this year. Throughout 12,681 innings in the field, they have maintained a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (ranking 12th in professional baseball).
In his professional career, Miles has allowed 78 hits while recording 91 strikeouts in 94 innings. He has permitted 27 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.083 and a FIP of 2.5. Miles has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.79 after facing 381 batters, with a career record of 6-2 and an impressive earned run average of 2.58 and 7.5 hits allowed per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Pick: Opt for Toronto (-160)
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