- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Wednesday, July 29, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-196) Cincinnati (+162)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
The Cincinnati Reds (49-55) will face off against the Cleveland Guardians (54-53) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. The betting moneyline has the Guardians positioned at -196, while the Reds are available at +162. The total runs for the game are set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Joey Cantillo for Cleveland and Rhett Lowder for Cincinnati.
The Guardians have collectively achieved 162 doubles and 104 home runs this season. Their team slugging percentage stands at .371, and they have struck out 895 times while drawing 381 walks. Averaging 3.9 runs per game, the Guardians rank 29th in MLB. They have recorded 402 RBIs and 813 hits this year, maintaining a batting average of .230. With a total of 420 runs scored, their on-base percentage is .309.
Cleveland boasts a team ERA of 3.75 this season, ranking 8th in MLB, while their pitchers have fanned 975 batters. They have allowed 119 home runs and 438 earned runs (9th in the league), with a walk count of 349. Their FIP stands at 3.89 for the season. The Guardians have conceded 853 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 395 earned runs, resulting in a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.79, combined with a WHIP of 1.27.
This season, the Guardians have utilized 359 relief pitchers. These relievers have inherited 162 base runners, with 25.3% scoring. The bullpen has achieved 86 holds (1st in baseball) and has entered games with runners on base 106 times, including 130 high-leverage situations. They have amassed 33 saves this year, with 10 blown saves out of 43 opportunities. The save rate for Guardians relievers is 76.7% across 130 save attempts.
Over the season, the Cleveland Guardians have logged 2,846 putouts, 847 assists, and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage is .985, placing them 17th in baseball, and they have executed 73 double plays. The Guardians’ efficiency in converting balls in play to outs is 69.5%, ranking 19th overall.
Joey Cantillo has pitched 243 innings in his career, recording 268 strikeouts. With a career record of 15-13, Cantillo has a FIP of 3.79, having faced 1,039 major league batters. His current ERA is 3.85, allowing 104 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.357. He has given up 220 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 110 walks.
The Cincinnati Reds have achieved 137 home runs this season, along with 413 RBIs. They have also recorded 154 doubles, drawn 374 walks, and scored 432 runs. The Reds maintain an OBP of .308 and a batting average of .230. Their team slugging percentage is .397, averaging 4.15 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have struck out 973 times, ranking 4th in the league, and totaled 801 hits.
With a team WHIP of 1.421, the Reds have a FIP of 4.83 for the season. Their K/BB ratio is solid at 8.20 (838 strikeouts to 447 walks). The pitching staff has given up 867 hits, ranking them 16th overall. Cincinnati has allowed 137 home runs and concedes 4.85 runs per nine innings (23rd in the league), with a season ERA of 4.52 (465 earned runs allowed).
In 101 save situations, the Reds have tallied 58 holds and suffered 17 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have been called upon in 42 save chances, converting 25 saves. Cincinnati’s bullpen has an inherited scoring percentage of 26.8% out of 164 inherited runners and has been utilized in 125 high-pressure situations. They rank 20th in MLB with a save rate of 59.5% and have deployed 369 relievers this season.
Throughout 8,325 innings on the field, the Reds have displayed a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in baseball). They also have turned 75 double plays and carry a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in Major League Baseball). This season, the Reds have recorded 847 assists, 56 errors, and 2,775 putouts.
So far in his professional career, Rhett Lowder has allowed 109 hits and recorded 87 strikeouts over 107 innings. With a 5-9 career record, Lowder holds a 4.37 ERA and gives up an average of 9.2 hits per nine innings. His WHIP stands at 1.493 with a FIP of 4.3, maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.71 after facing 481 batters in his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB battle—against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Cleveland (-196)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
