- Matchup: Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics
- Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
- Venue: CareFirst Arena, Washington, DC
- Broadcast: NBA TV
- Point Spread: Connecticut (+5.5)
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This Tuesday, the Washington Mystics (14-12) are set to clash with the Connecticut Sun (7-20) at CareFirst Arena, where Washington is favored by 5.5 points, with the game total set at 156.5.
In their previous outing, the Connecticut Sun suffered a significant defeat against the Indiana Fever, falling 123-88. The Sun finished the contest with a field goal percentage of 44.3% (35 of 79) and connected on 8 of 20 three-point attempts for a success rate of 40%. At the free-throw line, they converted 10 out of 15 attempts, achieving 66.7%. When it came to rebounding, Connecticut secured 35 boards, 9 of which were offensive. They also recorded 13 assists while committing 14 turnovers and making 6 steals. On the defensive side, Connecticut allowed a field goal percentage of 61.6% (45 of 73). The Fever tallied 19 assists and had 11 steals, while collecting 32 rebounds (8 offensive, 24 defensive) and providing 3 blocks. Indiana finished the game with an impressive 81.5% shooting from the free-throw line, scoring 22 of their 27 attempts, and drained 11 of 22 from long range.
Diamond Miller was a standout for the Sun, accumulating 15 points on 4 of 9 shooting across 23 minutes, with a shooting percentage of 44.4%. However, she did not record any assists in this matchup.
As they enter this game, the Connecticut Sun hold a season record of 7-20. They average 80.0 points per game, placing them 15th in the WNBA, and maintain a shooting rate of 43.6% from the field. Their success from beyond the arc is at 28.2% (138 of 489), with a free-throw shooting percentage of 69.7%. The Sun also average 33.1 rebounds per game and have made 519 assists this season, ranking 13th in the league. They turn the ball over 14.0 times and commit 22.9 fouls per game. Defensively, Connecticut causes 14.7 turnovers per game while accruing 20.6 fouls. Their defense allows opponents to shoot at 46.4% (397 of 557) and allows 32.5 rebounds per game. The Sun rank 7th in the WNBA for opponent assists, having given up 536 so far this season, while they allow 35.6% from three-point range and are ranked 10th in opponent points per game at 87.1.
Washington Mystics recently celebrated a narrow victory over the Las Vegas Aces, winning 100-99. They accumulated 22 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards for a total of 34. The Mystics lost possession 13 times while managing to secure 3 steals. The Aces committed 25 fouls, sending the Mystics to the free-throw line for 31 shots, of which they made 23 for a success rate of 74.2%. From beyond the arc, Washington connected on 7 of 13 attempts (53.8%). The Mystics concluded the game with 35 for 71 shooting from the field, equivalent to 49.3%. They allowed Las Vegas to convert 34 of their 62 field-goal attempts, resulting in a shooting rate of 54.8%. Washington shot 35.7% from three-point range, hitting 5 of 14, and finished strong at the line with 26 of 29 attempts, a remarkable 89.7%. In terms of rebounding, they permitted Las Vegas to collect a total of 24 boards (4 on the offensive end).
In that matchup, Shakira Austin proved impactful, scoring 25 points via 10 of 18 shooting (55.6%) and grabbing 6 rebounds over 29 minutes, also contributing 3 assists.
The Mystics hold a 14-12 record for the season. They have scored 2,100 points, averaging 80.8 points per game, while grabbing 37.0 rebounds per contest. Washington commits 20.3 fouls on average, with a free-throw shooting rate of 73.3%. Offensively, they are shooting 43.7% from the field, ranking 12th in the league. Their assist average stands at 19.3 per game (12th), while they turn the ball over 16.0 times per game. Defensively, they’re 3rd in the league for points allowed, with an average of 83.1 per game, forcing 12.6 turnovers each night and limiting opponents to a field goal percentage of 42.7% (3rd in the WNBA). They allow 32.2% from three-point range (222 of 689) and have yielded 78.7% success rate at the charity stripe. Additionally, they restrict opponents to an average of 19.3 assists and 30.4 rebounds per game, ranking 3rd in both categories.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA game against the spread?
Recommendation: Bet on Connecticut (+5.5)
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