Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Pick: UFC 329 Predictions and Odds for 07/11/2026

Home » Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Pick: UFC 329 Predictions and Odds for 07/11/2026

  • Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway
  • UFC 329
  • T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
  • Saturday, July 11, 2026

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On Saturday, July 11, 2026, Conor McGregor will step into the Octagon to face Max Holloway at UFC 329. The betting odds position McGregor at +195, while Holloway is listed at -230.

Conor “The Notorious” McGregor aims to boost his record of 22 wins and 6 losses. At 37 years old, he stands at 5’9″ and weighs in at 155 lbs, with a reach of 74 inches. Max “Blessed” Holloway, on the other hand, measures 5’11” and also weighs 155 lbs. The 34-year-old holds a record of 27 wins and 9 losses, with an arm span of 69 inches. When discussing significant strikes, McGregor lands an average of 5.32 strikes per minute, compared to Holloway’s 6.91. McGregor has a striking accuracy of 49%, while Holloway’s stands at 48%. In terms of defense, McGregor absorbs 4.66 significant strikes per minute, while Holloway takes in 4.61. McGregor manages to defend against 54% of incoming strikes, while Holloway successfully deflects 58%.

UFC Picks Conor McGregor Predictions Best Bet Odds
UFC 329 Conor McGregor Max Holloway
Opening Odds +195 -230
Record 22-6-0 27-9-0
Average Fight Time 8:02 16:39
Height 5’9″ 5’11”
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 74″ 69″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.32 6.91
Striking Accuracy 49% 48%

In grappling stats, McGregor shows more wrestling proficiency, averaging 0.67 takedowns per 3 rounds, successfully completing 55% of his attempts and defending against 66% of takedowns. Holloway, meanwhile, achieves takedowns on 53% of his attempts and defends 81%. In terms of submissions, McGregor averages 0.1 finishes per 15 minutes, while Holloway boasts 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

In his most recent fight, Conor McGregor faced Dustin Poirier and unfortunately lost via TKO due to a doctor’s stoppage in the first round. During the bout, Poirier successfully landed 36 of 66 of his strikes, while McGregor connected on 43 out of 54 total attempts. In terms of significant strikes, Poirier managed to land 36 of 66, achieving a 54% accuracy rate. He focused effectively on head strikes, landing 35 of 62. McGregor, on the other hand, demonstrated accuracy, landing 71% of his significant strikes with 27 out of 38 landing, including 13 out of 21 aimed at the head. Notably, Poirier achieved a striking distance of 22%, while McGregor enjoyed a 62% success rate.

Max Holloway’s last Octagon appearance was against Charles Oliveira, which ended in a unanimous decision loss in the fifth round. Oliveira landed 48% of his significant shots from a distance, whereas Holloway achieved a remarkable strike rate of 96% from distance. Holloway struck effectively, landing 57% of his significant strikes with 26 out of 45. His head strikes showed success as well, landing 18 of 36 significant attempts. Oliveira landed 50 of 66 total significant strikes throughout the fight and connected on 37 of 51 directed at the head. In total, Oliveira landed 110 out of 137 strikes, while Holloway connected on 73 of 92 total attempted strikes.

Exciting Fights to Watch on the Card

A highly anticipated fight features Benoit Saint Denis going head-to-head with Paddy Pimblett. Saint Denis enters the cage with a record of 17-3-0 (1 NC), at 5’11” and weighing 155 lbs. He fights as a southpaw, with a wingspan of 73 inches. Pimblett, measuring 5’10” and also weighing 155 lbs, comes in with a record of 23-4-0 and has a 73-inch reach. In grappling terms, Saint Denis executes takedowns 4.19 times per 15 minutes, compared to Pimblett’s 0.69 takedowns per 15 minutes. In striking, Saint Denis accumulates an average of 5.62 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 58%. Pimblett averages 5.49 strikes per minute with a landing accuracy of 52%.

For fans who enjoy action-packed bouts, Mario Bautista will also face Cory Sandhagen. Sandhagen, who holds a record of 18-6-0, weighs 135 lbs and stands at 5’11”. This switch fighter has a wingspan of 70 inches. Bautista, standing at 5’9″ and also weighing 135 lbs, is aiming to improve his record of 17-3-0. He has a wingspan of 69 inches. When it comes to wrestling, Sandhagen successfully defends 56% of takedowns and completes them 34% of the time, while Bautista secures his takedowns at a 38% rate and stops 55% of opponent attempts. In striking, Sandhagen averages 4.86 strikes landed per minute, absorbing 3.47 strikes, while Bautista lands 5.30 strikes per minute with an absorption of 3.98.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC match against the spread?

Prediction: Go with Conor McGregor (+195)

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Pick: Conor McGregor (+195)
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