- Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets
- Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
- Location: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
- Broadcast: Space City Home Network
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+9.0)
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The Dallas Mavericks, who finished last season at 26-56, are set to visit the Toyota Center this Wednesday to battle the Houston Rockets, who boast a 52-30 record from the previous year. The Rockets are favored by 9.0 points, with the total set at 229 points.
In their most recent matchup, the Mavericks triumphed over the Bulls with a score of 149-128. They accumulated 20 fouls, versus Chicago’s 27, and managed to hit 10 of 38 from three-point range. Chicago shot 73.7% from the free throw line, connecting on 14 of 19 attempts, while grabbing 38 rebounds (13 offensive, 25 defensive) and recording 8 blocks. The Bulls dished out 21 assists and achieved 9 steals in the game. Defensively, Dallas allowed a field goal percentage of 49.1%, as Chicago converted on 52 of 106 attempts. The Mavericks logged 36 assists, forced 16 turnovers, and secured 9 steals. On the boards, they collected a total of 43; only 3 of which were offensive rebounds. From the charity stripe, Dallas hit 23 of 27 free throw attempts for 85.2%. Overall, the Mavericks shot 52.0% from the field (52 of 100) and sank 22 of 49 from beyond the arc.
John Poulakidas was a standout player for the Mavericks, scoring 28 points on 9 of 18 shooting. He played 36 minutes and also grabbed 2 rebounds while contributing 4 assists.
This matchup sees Dallas entering after a challenging season, finishing 26-56. They averaged 14.5 turnovers and committed 18.4 fouls per game. On average, Dallas grabbed 44.7 rebounds and registered 2,072 assists, ranking 22nd league-wide. The Mavericks converted 34.4% of their three-point shots (899 of 2,615) and hit 75.5% from the free throw line. They scored an average of 114.1 points per game, placing them 23rd in the NBA, with a shooting percentage of 46.6% from the floor.
From a defensive standpoint, the Mavericks forced opponents into 13.4 turnovers while committing 21.0 fouls. They finished 27th in assists allowed, conceding 2,325 last season. Their defensive statistics included a field goal percentage allowed of 47.8% (3,676 of 7,695) and an average of 46.8 rebounds conceded per game. Opponents shot 35.0% from three-point range, contributing to the Mavericks’ 23rd place ranking in points per game allowed (119.6).
In their last outing, the Rockets faced defeat against the Lakers, falling 98-78. Houston allowed Los Angeles to secure 54 rebounds (15 offensive). From beyond the arc, the Rockets succeeded on 42.9% of their attempts, making 12 of 28. They converted 14 of 24 free throw attempts for a rate of 58.3%. The Lakers achieved a shooting percentage of 40.4%, hitting 36 of 89 field goal attempts. Houston managed to shoot 28 of 80, resulting in a 35.0% success rate. The Rockets converted 5 of 28 three-point attempts (17.9%) and went 17 for 24 at the line (70.8%). The Lakers committed 19 personal fouls, giving the Rockets 24 free throw opportunities. Houston also turned the ball over 14 times and earned 6 steals. They pulled down a total of 45 rebounds, including 37 defensive and 8 offensive boards.
Amen Thompson demonstrated his skills for the Rockets, scoring 18 points in 45 minutes of play and contributing 3 assists. He connected on 7 of 14 shots, achieving a 50.0% field goal rate, while grabbing 8 rebounds.
Last season, the Rockets achieved a remarkable 52-30 record. Offensively, they connected on 47.9% of their shots, which ranked them 10th in the league, accumulating 9,449 points (115.2 points per game). They averaged 48.1 rebounds per contest and assisted each other 25.4 times per game, placing them 21st. Houston turned the ball over 15.4 times each game, while committing 18.3 fouls. From the free-throw line, they converted 76.3% of their shots.
Defensively, the Rockets held opponents to 35.1% shooting from distance (1,014 of 2,892), while their opponents sunk 75.6% of their free throw attempts. The defense averaged 24.5 assists and allowed 39.5 rebounds per game, ranking them 3rd and 2nd in the NBA respectively. The Rockets were 4th overall in points allowed per game (110.0) and forced an average of 13.4 turnovers, allowing teams to shoot 46.0% from the field (6th in the league).
Who will cover the spread in tonight’s NBA game?
Prediction: Choose Houston (-9.0)
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