Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Forecast, 4/25/2026 Overview and Selection

Home » Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Forecast, 4/25/2026 Overview and Selection

  • Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
  • Broadcast: ABC
  • Betting Odds: Denver (-1.0)

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The Denver Nuggets (54-28) are set to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) at Target Center on Saturday for Game 4 of their playoff series, with Minnesota currently holding a 2-1 lead. Minnesota enters this game as 1.0-point underdogs, and the over/under is set at 229.5 points.

NBA Predictions: Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets, Best Bets, Odds

In Game 3, the Nuggets suffered a defeat with a score of 113-96. Denver managed a field goal percentage of 34.1% (28 of 82) and successfully hit 8 of 32 three-point attempts. From the free-throw line, they completed 32 of 40 shots, achieving an 80.0% conversion rate. On the boards, Denver collected a total of 40 rebounds, including 6 offensive. They also registered 12 assists while committing 11 turnovers and securing 5 steals. Defensively, Denver allowed Minnesota to shoot 47.3% from the field, with the Timberwolves completing 44 of 93 attempts. Minnesota recorded 31 assists and made 6 steals, adding 53 rebounds (12 offensive) and 2 blocks. Additionally, Minnesota converted 76.2% of their free throws, making 16 of 21 attempts, while nailing 9 of 34 shots from beyond the arc. The personal foul count saw Denver with 18 fouls compared to Minnesota’s 27.

Nikola Jokic played a pivotal role in the last game, scoring 27 points from 7 out of 26 shooting attempts. He logged 35 minutes and tallied 15 rebounds, shooting at a 26.9% efficiency while providing 3 assists.

The Nuggets boast a 54-28 record this season. They average 12.9 turnovers per game and commit 19.1 personal fouls. As a collective, Denver is grabbing 44.0 rebounds per game and has accumulated 2,375 assists, ranking 4th in the league for team assists. They are shooting at a 39.6% rate from three-point range (1,161 of 2,934) and 80.8% from the free-throw line. Currently, they score an average of 122.1 points per game, leading the NBA, while shooting 49.6% overall.

On the defensive side, the Nuggets force 11.8 turnovers per game and average 21.5 fouls. Opponents shoot 34.9% from three-point range against them, and they are 21st in the NBA for points allowed per game (116.9). Denver’s overall field goal defense allows opponents a 46.8% shooting percentage (3,503 of 7,481) and they average 42.8 rebounds allowed per game, ranking 20th in this category while permitting 2,254 assists this season.

In Game 3, Minnesota demonstrated dominance on both ends of the court, taking a 2-1 lead in the series. Minnesota allowed Denver to grab 40 total rebounds (6 offensive), shooting 25.0% from beyond the arc (8 of 32) and hitting 32 of 40 from the free-throw line (80.0%). The Timberwolves recorded 44 baskets from 93 tries, totaling a shooting percentage of 47.3%. Minnesota made 9 out of 34 from three-point territory (26.5%) and sank 76.2% of their free-throw attempts with a total of 16 conversions. Denver committed 18 fouls, allowing Minnesota 21 free-throw attempts and turned the ball over 11 times while achieving 6 steals in the game. Minnesota gathered a total of 53 rebounds with 41 defensive and 12 offensive.

Ayo Dosunmu was a standout player for the Timberwolves, contributing 25 points in 32 minutes, along with 9 assists. He displayed efficiency, shooting 66.7% (10 of 15) and gathering 3 rebounds.

Minnesota holds a record of 49-33 this season. As for their offense, the Timberwolves hit 48.1% of their shots, placing them 9th in the league. They have racked up 9,676 points over the season, averaging 118.0 points per game while collecting 44.1 rebounds. Minnesota averages 26.1 assists per game (16th in the league) and has 14.8 turnovers per game along with committing 21.2 fouls each match while shooting 75.2% from the free-throw line.

Defensively, Minnesota allows opponents to shoot 35.5% from three-point range (990 of 2,786) and 78.1% from the charity stripe. They concede 26.0 assists and 43.7 rebounds per game, ranking 10th and 16th in the league respectively. They are 12th in points allowed, surrendering 114.6 points per game, while forcing 15.0 turnovers and allowing teams to shoot 46.2% from the field (7th in the NBA).

What’s the prediction for tonight’s parlay?

Choice: Take Minnesota (+1.0)

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Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves Forecast (+1.0)
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