Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes Analysis, 08/08/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 120 Odds

• Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes: A Fight to Watch
• UFC Vegas 120 Preview
• Meta Apex, Las Vegas
• Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026

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On Saturday, August 8, 2026, Diyar Nurgozhay will face Bruno Lopes in an exciting matchup at UFC Vegas 120. The initial betting odds show Nurgozhay at -146 while Lopes stands at +126.

Diyar Nurgozhay boasts a record of 11 wins and 2 losses. At 29 years old, he competes in the light heavyweight division, weighing in at 205 lbs and standing tall at 6’2″. His reach extends to 74 inches. Bruno “The Brazilian Cowboy” Lopes, also 6’2″ and at 205 lbs, enters with a record of 14 wins and 3 losses. At 33 years old, Lopes also enjoys a reach of 74 inches. In terms of striking, Nurgozhay connects with an average of 4.52 significant strikes per minute, while Lopes lands 2.88. Nurgozhay has a striking accuracy of 59%, compared to Lopes’s 43%. Defensively, Nurgozhay allows 2.81 significant strikes per minute, whereas Lopes absorbs 4.21. Nurgozhay successfully defends against 61% of significant strikes aimed at him, while Lopes defends 54% of incoming strikes.

In terms of grappling, Diyar Nurgozhay averages only 1.37 takedowns every three rounds, successfully executing 75% of his attempts while defending against 80% of takedowns. On the other hand, Bruno Lopes manages a takedown success rate of 21% and has an impressive 85% takedown defense. When it comes to submission attempts, Nurgozhay averages 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes, whereas Lopes attempts 0.8 submissions every three rounds.

In his last Octagon appearance, Diyar Nurgozhay triumphed over Rafael Tobias via unanimous decision in the third round. During the bout, Tobias managed to land 52 out of 114 total strikes while Nurgozhay landed an impressive 100 of 150 attempts. For significant strikes, Tobias connected on 39 out of 101, earning a 38% accuracy rate, while Nurgozhay achieved 65% accuracy, landing 94 out of 143. Notably, both fighters found significant success with a majority of their strikes coming from distance.

In the latest fight for Bruno Lopes, he faced Navajo Stirling, unfortunately losing in the second round from punches delivered while in mount position. Stirling recorded a striking success rate of 68% at distance, while Lopes managed 44% overall, landing 28 of 63 significant strikes. From these, he achieved 15 out of 42 directed to the head, against Stirling’s total of 63 connects out of 119 thrown, including 30 aimed at the head.

Other Exciting Fights on the Card

Don’t miss the matchup between Steven Asplund and Guilherme Pat. Asplund, holding a record of 7-2-0, weighs 260 lbs and stands at 6’5″, with an orthodox fighting style and a reach of 78″. Pat, at 6’6″ and 265 lbs, holds a record of 6-1-0. In grappling, Asplund averages 0.80 takedowns per three rounds, while Pat averages 0.30 takedowns every 15 minutes. Striking-wise, Asplund connects 10.05 strikes per minute at an accuracy of 51%, whereas Pat has a 61% accuracy, landing 2.70 strikes per minute.

Another must-watch fight features Alexia Thainara against Amanda Lemos. Lemos aims to improve her record of 15-6-1. At 39 years old, she weighs 115 lbs and measures 5’4″, using a southpaw stance with a reach of 65″. Thainara, 14-1-0, also weighs 115 lbs and stands at 5’4″, extends her reach to 67″. In grappling, Lemos successfully defends against 63% of takedowns while completing 64% of her own attempts. Thainara, on the other hand, executes takedowns 57% of the time and boasts an 85% defense rate against takedowns. In strikes absorbed, Lemos takes in 3.01 per minute, delivering 2.75, while Thainara absorbs 2.46 and lands 4.62 per minute.

Will tonight’s UFC main event end in your favor?

Prediction: Select Diyar Nurgozhay (-146)