- Matchup: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox
- Scheduled Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Odds: Houston (+125) Boston (-145)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
The Houston Astros (11-19) are heading to Fenway Park this Friday for a showdown against the Boston Red Sox (12-19). The moneyline currently sits at +125 for the Astros and -145 for the Red Sox, with the over/under established at 8.5 runs. Anticipated starting pitchers for the game include Mike Burrows and Connelly Early.
As a unit, the Houston Astros are averaging 5.1 runs per game, ranking 5th in Major League Baseball. They have amassed a total of 154 runs scored this season, paired with a .344 on-base percentage (OBP). The Astros have accumulated 66 doubles and hit 38 home runs, with 146 RBIs and 265 hits so far, resulting in a team batting average of .260. Their slugging percentage stands at .440, with 233 strikeouts and 122 walks on the year.
Check Out Today’s MLB Picks!
The Astros’ pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 1.71 and a collective WHIP of 1.64. They have surrendered 44 home runs and 179 runs overall (29th in MLB). Houston has given up 269 hits (averaging 9.3 per 9 innings) and 173 earned runs, which leads to a team ERA of 5.96 (30th in MLB). Their staff has recorded 274 strikeouts while walking 160 opponents, with a FIP of 5.29 as a team for the season.
This season, the Astros have utilized 97 relief pitchers. The bullpen has had 65 inherited runners, with 29.2% scoring. This group has managed to secure 12 holds (27th in MLB). Astros bullpen pitchers have faced players on base 38 times and have appeared in high leverage situations 23 times. They have registered 6 saves this season and have converted 6 of 7 save opportunities, leading to an 85.7% save rate, with 19 total save situations.
To date, the Astros have achieved 784 putouts, 225 assists, and 10 errors, resulting in a .990 fielding percentage which places them 5th in the league. They have converted 30 double plays and achieved 66.9% of outs when the ball is put in play out of 2,352 innings, ranking 29th in the league.
Mike Burrows (career record of 4-7) has a FIP of 4.42 after facing 559 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 131 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and 46 walks, posting an ERA of 4.49 (65 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.358, throwing a total of 130 innings with 132 strikeouts in his MLB career.
The Boston Red Sox have a collective OBP of .309 and a batting average of .231 this season. They have been struck out 258 times (ranking 13th overall) and achieved a total of 240 hits. Boston has hit 21 home runs and recorded 118 RBIs, with a team slugging percentage of .351, averaging 3.97 runs per game (25th in MLB). They have also tallied 53 doubles and 102 walks, scoring 123 runs.
The Red Sox pitching staff has allowed 139 runs so far this season, leading to a team ERA of 4.35 (131 earned runs) and 41 home runs given up, averaging 4.61 runs allowed per 9 innings (18th in the league). Boston’s WHIP stands at 1.313, with a FIP of 4.56 for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.20, with 246 strikeouts against 103 walks, positioning them at 20th in MLB in total hits allowed with 253.
Boston’s bullpen has a 34.1% inherited runs scoring percentage out of 44 inherited runners. The relief pitchers have entered games in high leverage situations on 26 occasions and also faced runners on base 29 times. The Red Sox have participated in 23 save situations, achieving 14 holds and 4 blown saves. Their save percentage stands at 55.6%, ranking 21st in baseball, while they have called 94 relief pitchers to the mound this season.
The Red Sox have executed 21 double plays and boast a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in MLB). They have recorded 283 assists, committed 16 errors, and achieved a total of 814 putouts this year. In their 2,442 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6%, ranking 11th in baseball.
In his professional career, Connelly Early has permitted 41 hits while achieving 57 strikeouts in 50 innings pitched. Early possesses a career record of 3-3 with a 2.68 ERA, giving up 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 15 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.173 and a FIP of 2.6. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.17 after facing 210 batters over his MLB career.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Boston (-145)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
