- Matchup: Houston Astros vs New York Mets
- Scheduled Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Houston (+110) New York (-130)
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The Houston Astros (66-67) are set to visit Citi Field this Friday to take on the New York Mets (60-73). Current betting odds place Houston at +110 while New York stands at -130, with the over/under pegged at 8.5 runs. The starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and Christian Scott.
The Houston Astros have been scoring an average of 4.6 runs per game, placing them 10th in the league. With a total of 608 runs and an on-base percentage of .317, the Astros have collectively hit 196 doubles and smashed 177 home runs. They’ve amassed 579 RBIs and 1,084 hits with a batting average of .242. Houston’s slugging percentage is at .411, with a strikeout count of 1,091 and 443 walks drawn.
The Astros maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.11, with a pitching staff WHIP of 1.37. Houston’s pitchers have allowed 177 home runs and total runs conceded stands at 656 (25th in MLB). The team has allowed 1,070 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and has a collective earned run total of 614, contributing to a league ERA of 4.68 (25th). The Astros pitching staff has struck out 1,161 batters while walking 550, with a FIP of 4.66.
The bullpen boasts an impressive save percentage of 81.6% in 115 save opportunities, converting 40 saves and with a 9 blown saves count from 49 chances. Relievers inherited 180 base runners this season, with 26.7% scoring. Relief pitchers have faced opponents with runners on base 122 times and have participated in 133 high-leverage scenarios. Houston has utilized 432 relievers this year, achieving 64 holds (23rd in MLB).
Defensively, the Astros have accumulated 3,541 putouts, 982 assists, and 60 errors, with a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 11th in MLB. They have successfully converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs over 10,623 innings, positioning them at 11th place.
Hunter Brown, with a career record of 39-34, has a FIP of 3.44, having faced 2,501 batters. He has given up 517 hits (7.7 per nine innings) with 222 walks and an ERA of 3.49, allowing 235 earned runs. With a career WHIP of 1.221, he has pitched 605 innings along with 661 strikeouts.
The New York Mets, on the other hand, have a season on-base percentage of .307 and a batting average of .237. They’ve struck out 1,127 times (13th in MLB) and recorded 1,060 hits. With 163 home runs and 526 RBIs, the Mets have a team slugging percentage of .391 and average 4.14 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They also have 166 doubles and have walked 425 times.
Mets pitchers have a combined WHIP of 1.305, with a team FIP of 4.04. In total, they have allowed 1,068 hits and given up 596 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.08 (537 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is 9.10 (1,198 strikeouts to 477 walks), and they’ve surrendered 146 home runs, allowing 4.53 runs per nine innings (17th in MLB).
In 99 save opportunities, the Mets have recorded 56 holds and 15 blown saves. New York relievers have faced 40 save chances, converting 25 saves. They’ve inherited 173 runners, allowing 27.2% to score. Their bullpen pitchers have made 144 high-leverage appearances, with a save rate of 62.5%, ranked 16th. This season, 408 bullpen pitchers have taken the mound.
Defensively, the Mets have turned 82 double plays with a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in MLB). They have 1,051 assists, 81 errors, and 3,554 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency sits at 69.5% over 10,662 innings played (20th in the majors).
Christian Scott, holding a 4-6 career record, has a 4.03 earned run average while yielding 8.2 hits per nine innings. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.94, he has faced 587 batters in his MLB journey. He has allowed 61 earned runs, earning a WHIP of 1.285 and a FIP of 4.0. Thus far, Scott has given up 124 hits and recorded 150 strikeouts in 136 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Houston (+110)
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