- Matchup: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers
- Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
- Venue: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: Rangers Sports Network
- Betting Odds: Houston (+106) Texas (-128)
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On Sunday, the Texas Rangers (48-46) are set to host the Houston Astros (46-50) at Globe Life Field. The moneyline for this matchup sees Houston at +106 and Texas at -128, with the total runs over/under established at 8.5. Cristian Javier and Tyler Alexander are scheduled to start on the mound.
This season, Houston boasts a slugging percentage of .410 with 780 strikeouts and 313 walks. They have accumulated 415 RBIs and 778 hits, holding a batting average of .241. The Astros, as a team, have achieved 147 doubles and 128 home runs, generating a total of 435 runs with a team on-base percentage of .315. As a result, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them 14th in the MLB.
This season, the Astros’ pitching staff has recorded an earned run average (ERA) of 4.81 (27th in MLB) while striking out 824 batters. They’ve allowed 134 home runs and 487 runs (27th in MLB). The staff has issued 420 walks, and their collective FIP is 4.90. Houston pitchers have given up 771 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 453 earned runs, leading to a K/BB ratio of 1.96 and a WHIP of 1.40.
Throughout the season, Astros pitchers have faced runners on base 89 times and have made 90 high-leverage appearances. The bullpen has achieved 43 holds (22nd in the league) with an 84.8% save rate in 76 save opportunities, converting 28 saves while blowing five. This relief unit has inherited 137 runners, with 29.2% scoring. In total, 300 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Houston this season.
Defensively, the Astros have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs across 7,635 innings, ranking 10th in the majors. They have amassed 2,545 putouts, along with 713 assists and 41 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .988 (7th best in MLB) and 79 double plays.
Pitcher Cristian Javier has thrown 550 innings, accumulating 606 strikeouts with a career record of 35-23. His FIP stands at 3.75, while he’s faced 2,280 batters, maintaining an earned run average of 3.81 (233 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.171. Javier has allowed 413 hits (6.8 hits per nine innings) and issued 231 walks.
The Texas Rangers currently hold an on-base percentage of .320 and a team batting average of .244 this season. They’ve struck out 785 times (16th in the league) and have 765 total hits. Texas has recorded 106 home runs and 375 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is at .397, producing an average of 4.15 runs per game (24th in MLB). Additionally, the Rangers have achieved 134 doubles while drawing 310 walks and scoring 390 runs.
The Rangers’ pitching staff has allowed 400 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.07 (373 earned runs). They’ve surrendered 113 home runs, averaging 4.36 runs per nine innings (10th in MLB). The Texas staff maintains a WHIP of 1.246 and a FIP of 4.05, with a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (800 strikeouts versus 267 walks), ranking 14th in the league for total hits allowed with 761.
Rangers relievers have an inherited scoring rate of 32.3% from 124 inherited runners. They’ve appeared 91 times in high-pressure situations and 82 times with runners on. With 85 save opportunities, the Rangers have achieved 45 holds and 10 blown saves while ranking 5th in MLB with a 73.7% save success rate, using 293 relief pitchers this season.
The Texas Rangers have turned 59 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in MLB). They have totaled 719 assists, 43 errors, and 2,476 putouts throughout the season. After 7,428 innings of play, Texas records a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in MLB).
Pitcher Tyler Alexander, with a career record of 23-43, has an earned run average of 4.47, allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings. With a K/BB ratio of 3.46, he has faced 2,490 batters, giving up 291 earned runs and achieving a WHIP of 1.300 alongside a FIP of 4.40. In his professional baseball career, Alexander has allowed 622 hits and struck out 481 batters over 585 innings.
Who will prevail in this evening’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Pick Texas (-128)
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