- Matchup: Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
- Venue: Wembley Stadium, London, England
- Broadcast: NFL Network
- Point Spread: Jaguars -3.0
- Over/Under Total: 42.5
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The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-1) are set to face the Houston Texans (1-4) at Wembley Stadium this Sunday. The Jaguars enter the contest as 3-point favorites according to bookmakers, with the over/under established at 42.5.
As they approach this matchup, the Houston Texans carry a 1-4 record for the season. In their latest outing, the Texans achieved a commanding victory against the Tennessee Titans, winning 26-3. Quarterback C.J. Stroud threw for 261 yards on 26-of-34 passing and recorded one touchdown, achieving a QB rating of 107.6 without any interceptions. Wide receiver Xavier Hutchinson averaged an impressive 16.3 yards per catch, totaling 65 yards from four receptions. Woody Marks led the rushing attack, compiling 62 yards on 15 carries (4.1 yards per carry). The Texans executed 61 plays, accumulating a total of 329 yards. They rushed 27 times for 79 yards, averaging 2.9 yards per attempt, while defensively allowing 57 rushing yards on 18 attempts (3.2 yards per carry). Houston’s defense conceded 23 completions on 36 attempts for 130 yards, resulting in a completion percentage of 63.9%.
This season, the Texans have totaled 1,704 offensive yards. The team secured 60 first downs but has also been penalized 42 times, resulting in 388 yards lost. On the offensive side, they have recorded six passing touchdowns and five rushing touchdowns, with only two turnovers. Currently, their rushing average of 79.0 yards places them 31st in the league, while they average 22.0 points per game.
In terms of pass defense, the Texans have surrendered 1,170 yards, ranking them 23rd in the league. They allow an average of 234.0 yards per game through the air and have a completion rate against of 67.2%. Against the run, they have given up 392 rushing yards in five games, allowing six passing touchdowns and five rushing touchdowns. Overall, they relinquish 312.4 total yards per game, placing them 11th in the NFL. Their ground defense averages 3.3 yards allowed per rush and yields 78.4 rushing yards per game, ranking them 16th in points allowed, approximately 22.4 per contest.
The Jaguars enter this contest boasting a record of 4-1 this season. In their previous game, they secured a narrow win against the Philadelphia Eagles, finishing with a score of 19-17. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence, who threw for 331 yards and two touchdowns, completed 24 of 39 passes with a QB rating of 95.1. He did throw one interception and averaged 8.5 yards per completion. Running back Bhayshul Tuten rushed 22 times for 72 yards, averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Parker Washington emerged as a prominent target, catching six passes for 124 yards (20.7 yards per reception). The Jaguars averaged 3.8 yards per carry, totaling 102 rushing yards on 27 attempts. In this game, they produced 408 total yards across 66 plays (averaging 6.2 yards per play). On the defensive front, the Jaguars allowed a completion rate of 52.5%, yielding 210 yards on 21 completions out of 40 attempts. They limited the Eagles to just 18 rushing attempts for 22 yards (1.2 yards per carry).
The Jaguars rank 12th in scoring, averaging 24.6 points per game. This season, they have amassed 1,103 passing yards, averaging 220.6 yards per game, which places them 17th in the league. Their rushing attack averages 114.2 yards per game, with a total of 571 rushing yards. Overall, the Jacksonville Jaguars average 334.8 yards per game, positioning them 15th in the NFL. In terms of penalties, they have committed 41 infractions for 346 yards, ranking them 9th in the league. They have generated three interceptions but have not lost any fumbles, and they have achieved 54 first downs offensively.
Defensively, the Jaguars concede 14.0 points per game, placing them second in the NFL. They have allowed four passing touchdowns and an average of 266.2 passing yards per game, ranking them 30th in the league. On the ground, they have given up a total of 319 rushing yards (63.8 yards per game) and three rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has participated in 298 plays from scrimmage, ranking 11th in the NFL. They have recorded a total of eight turnovers, including two forced fumbles and six interceptions, yielding only 70 points so far.
Who will emerge victorious in this Texans-Jaguars NFL matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on the Jaguars -3.0
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