Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans Analysis, 10/11/2026 NFL Selections, Top Bets & Odds Week 5

Home » Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans Analysis, 10/11/2026 NFL Selections, Top Bets & Odds Week 5

  • Matchup: Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans
  • Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
  • Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
  • Broadcast: CBS
  • Point Spread: Texans -6.5
  • Total Points Over/Under: 38

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The Houston Texans (0-4) are set to square off against the Tennessee Titans (0-4) this Sunday at Nissan Stadium. Houston enters this matchup as 6.5-point favorites, with the over/under at 38 points.

Currently holding a record of 0-4, the Texans faced a tough game against the Dallas Cowboys, losing 34-30. In that matchup, David Montgomery led the rushing attack with 10 carries, totaling 24 yards (2.4 yards per carry). Nico Collins was a standout receiver, averaging 16.9 yards per reception with 118 yards on 7 catches. Quarterback C.J. Stroud went 21 for 31, passing for 347 yards and 2 touchdowns, achieving a QB rating of 126.7 without any interceptions. The Texans’ defense allowed 75 rushing yards on 25 attempts, yielding an average of 3.0 yards per rush. Houston’s pass defense permitted 32 completions on 45 attempts, allowing 324 passing yards at a completion rate of 71.1%. Overall, the Texans ran 50 plays, gaining 397 total yards. The Texans’ rushing offense accumulated 62 yards from 19 attempts, averaging 3.3 yards per carry.

NFL Picks: Nico Collins Houston Texans Predictions Best Bet Odds

When it comes to scoring, the Texans have averaged 21.0 points per game (PPG). Overall, they are gaining 79.0 rushing yards per game, which ranks them 30th in the league. This season, Houston has amassed 1,375 total yards, with 48 first downs and 31 penalties costing them 293 yards. They’ve also turned the ball over twice. In terms of scoring, the Texans have recorded 5 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns.

On defense, the Texans have surrendered 1,040 passing yards, ranking 28th in the league. They allow an average of 260.0 passing yards per game with a completion percentage against of 68.1%. Additionally, they have given up 335 rushing yards across 4 games, with 6 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns allowed. Overall, the defense is allowing 343.8 total yards per game, positioning them 20th in the NFL. The Texans are giving up 3.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 83.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 26th defensively with 27.3 points allowed per game.

As for the Titans, they’re also struggling this season with a 0-4 record. Their most recent game resulted in a 24-18 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. Tony Pollard rushed the ball 16 times for 48 yards, averaging 3.0 yards per carry. Wide receiver Carnell Tate was a key target, catching 9 passes for 145 yards (16.1 yards per reception). Quarterback Cam Ward finished with 222 yards, going 20 for 31 with 1 touchdown and a quarterback rating of 83, throwing 1 interception. The Titans’ ground game yielded 112 yards on 30 attempts (3.7 yards per carry). In pass defense, Tennessee allowed 79.3% completions, giving up 272 yards on 23 of 29 attempts. Tennessee executed 57 plays, totaling 297 yards with their rushing game accumulating 85 yards on 26 attempts, averaging 3.3 yards per carry.

The Tennessee Titans are averaging 261.3 total yards per game, placing them at the bottom of the league at 32nd overall. Their rushing game produces only 89.0 yards per game, amassing 356 total rushing yards this season. The team has recorded 2 interceptions and allowed 3 fumbles lost while tallying 35 first downs. Penalties have cost the Titans 165 yards on 23 flags, ranking 30th in the league. This season, they have passed for 689 yards, averaging 172.3 yards per game, placing them 29th in the league. In terms of scoring, Tennessee ranks 31st with an average of just 13.8 PPG.

This season, the Titans’ defense has yielded 4 passing touchdowns and 209.8 passing yards per game, ranking 13th overall. They have also allowed 491 rushing yards (122.8 yards per game), including 4 rushing touchdowns. Tennessee’s defense has generated 2 turnovers and has allowed a total of 83 points. The Titans have been on the field for 254 plays, ranking them 20th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing an average of 20.8 points per game, good for 9th in the league defensively.

Which team will come out on top in this Texans vs. Titans matchup?

Pick: Bet on the Texans -6.5

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Pick: Houston Texans -6.5
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