Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders Outlook, 10/4/2026 NFL Picks, Top Bets & Odds Week 4

Home » Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders Outlook, 10/4/2026 NFL Picks, Top Bets & Odds Week 4

  • Matchup: Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders
  • Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
  • Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
  • Broadcast: NFL Network
  • Betting Odds: Commanders +3.5
  • Total Points Over/Under: 46.5

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The Indianapolis Colts (1-2) are traveling to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium this Sunday to face the Washington Commanders (1-2). The Colts enter the match as 3.5-point favorites, with the total points set at 46.5.

This season, the Indianapolis Colts find themselves at a 1-2 record. Their most recent outing saw them narrowly defeat the Houston Texans with a final score of 19-17. Jonathan Taylor led the ground game with 23 carries for 68 yards (3.0 yards per attempt). Josh Downs made significant contributions in the passing game, averaging 15.4 yards per catch with 5 receptions totaling 77 yards. Quarterback Daniel Jones achieved 24 completions on 36 attempts, amassing 235 passing yards and one touchdown, along with a quarterback rating of 82.5 despite throwing one interception. The Colts’ defense limited the Texans to 70 rushing yards on 21 attempts (3.3 yards per carry) and allowed 16 completions on 27 attempts for a total of 153 passing yards, giving up a completion rate of 59.3%. Overall, the Colts executed 67 plays, yielding 300 total yards. In the rushing department, they carried the ball 31 times, totaling 89 yards at an average of 2.9 yards per carry.

NFL Predictions Jonathan Taylor Indianapolis Colts Betting Odds

When looking at their offensive output, the Colts are averaging 24.0 points per game. They rank 15th in the league, posting an average of 103.3 rushing yards per game. On the season, they have totaled 880 yards, registering 31 first downs and committing 15 penalties costing them 100 yards. The Colts have given away the football 6 times (3 interceptions and 3 fumbles). In total, they’ve scored 3 touchdowns through the air and 4 on the ground.

Defensively, the Colts rank 30th, allowing an average of 30.3 points per game. They permit 4.9 yards per rushing attempt, resulting in 141.3 rushing yards per game. In terms of passing, the Colts have allowed 828 total yards, placing them also 30th in the league, yielding an average of 276.0 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 65.7%. Overall, they concede 417.3 yards per game, ranking last in professional football. They have allowed 5 passing touchdowns and an equal number of rushing touchdowns, giving up 424 rushing yards across 3 games this season.

The Washington Commanders approach this match with a 1-2 record this season. Their last game was a close win against the Seattle Seahawks, finishing 33-31. Marcus Mariota threw for 183 yards on 19-31 passing with 3 touchdowns and a quarterback rating of 110, maintaining possession without any interceptions and averaging 5.9 yards per attempt. Terry McLaurin was a prominent receiver, catching 6 passes for 77 yards (12.8 yards per catch). Running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt had 19 carries for just 36 yards for an average of 1.9 yards per carry. The Commanders compiled a total of 258 yards while running 63 plays (4.1 yards per play). In the rushing department, they averaged 2.6 yards per attempt with a total of 82 yards on 32 carries. On defense, Washington allowed 44 rushing yards on 18 attempts (2.4 yards per rush) and their pass defense permitted a completion rate of 69.6%, giving up 393 yards on 32 completions out of 46 attempts.

The Washington Commanders average 314.0 total yards per game, which ranks them 18th in the league. They post an average of 132.0 rushing yards per game and have accumulated a total of 396 rushing yards this season. The team has not thrown any interceptions but has lost one fumble and tallied 31 first downs. The offense has recorded 140 yards due to 20 penalties, ranking 22nd in the league in this category. This season, the Commanders have achieved 546 passing yards, averaging 182.0 passing yards per game—placing them 27th overall in the league. In terms of scoring potential, they rank 13th, averaging 25.0 points per game.

The Commanders’ defense permits an average of 30.7 points per game, ranking 31st in the league. They have given up 11 passing touchdowns and allow an average of 280.3 passing yards per game, also ranking them 31st in football. Additionally, they have surrendered a total of 246 rushing yards (82.0 rushing yards per game) and no rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has been active on the field for 171 plays, which ranks them 8th in professional football. Overall, they have 3 takeaways (1 fumble recovery and 2 interceptions) and have allowed a total of 92 points to date.

Who will emerge victorious in this Colts-Commanders NFL showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Take the Commanders +3.5

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Pick: Washington Commanders +3.5
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