- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: CBS
- Betting Odds: Chiefs -3.0
- Total Points Over/Under: 45
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On Sunday, the Atlanta Falcons (3-6) will host the Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) at the iconic Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The oddsmakers have installed Kansas City as 3-point favorites, with a total set at 45 points.
The Kansas City Chiefs enter this matchup boasting a 6-2 record this season. In their most recent game, the Chiefs squared off against the New York Jets, securing a convincing 35-12 victory. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes completed 23 of 31 passes for 242 yards and 2 touchdowns, achieving a quarterback rating of 117.9 without an interception. Leading the ground attack was Kenneth Walker III, who rushed for 102 yards on 18 carries (5.7 yards per carry). Receiver Xavier Worthy also made an impact, averaging 8.0 yards per reception with 48 yards on 6 catches. The Chiefs dominated the ground game, totaling 163 rushing yards on 32 carries for an impressive average of 5.1 yards per carry. Overall, they ran 63 plays, generating 391 total yards. On defense, Kansas City allowed the Jets to complete 18 of 32 passes for 123 yards, achieving a completion rate of 56.3%. Against the run, the Chiefs surrendered 106 yards on 25 attempts, averaging 4.2 yards per carry.
This season, the Chiefs have accumulated 3,073 total yards and secured 94 first downs, though they have faced 55 penalties costing them 484 yards. In the red zone, Kansas City has achieved 14 touchdown passes and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 7 times (4 interceptions and 3 fumbles). On average, they are rushing for 137.8 yards per game, placing them 5th in the league. In terms of scoring, the Chiefs are averaging 25.3 points per game.
On the defensive front, Kansas City has permitted 1,683 passing yards this season, ranking them 4th in the NFL. They have allowed an average of 210.4 passing yards per game with a completion percentage against of 61.6%. Thus far, they have conceded a total of 780 rushing yards over 8 games, giving up 7 touchdowns through the air and 5 on the ground. Overall, they rank 8th in the league, allowing 307.9 yards per outing and 17.9 points per game, placing them 3rd defensively.
The Falcons arrive with a season record of 3-6. In their previous game, they suffered a 34-17 defeat to the Cincinnati Bengals. Quarterback Michael Penix threw for 162 yards on 20-31 passing, resulting in 1 touchdown and 1 interception, with a passer rating of 74.9. Bijan Robinson stood out with 100 rushing yards on 19 carries, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. In the receiving game, Robinson also led the Falcons, catching 6 passes for 47 yards (7.8 yards per catch). Atlanta averaged 6.5 yards per rush, accumulating 157 rushing yards on 24 carries. They ran a total of 55 plays, totaling 319 yards and allowed an 82.8% completion rate for the Bengals, giving up 265 yards through the air. Additionally, they allowed 123 yards on 24 rush attempts (5.1 yards per rush).
The Atlanta Falcons have averaged 322.7 total yards per game, positioning them 21st overall in the league. Their rushing game has accounted for 137.2 yards per contest, contributing to a total of 1,235 rushing yards this season. However, they have thrown 12 interceptions and lost 5 fumbles, leading to a total of 74 offensive first downs. The Falcons’ discipline has also been an issue, committing 60 penalties for 538 yards, placing them 20th in that category. With 1,669 passing yards this season, they average 185.4 yards through the air, ranking 25th in the league, and they rank 23rd in scoring, averaging 20.9 points per game.
Defensively, Atlanta has allowed 14 touchdown passes and 228.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 20th in the league. Their rushing defense has given up 1,069 total rushing yards (118.8 yards per game) and has surrendered 10 rushing touchdowns this year. On the positive side, the Falcons’ defense has recorded 10 takeaways (7 forced fumbles and 3 interceptions) throughout the season, allowing a total of 223 points, ranking them 29th in defensive plays with 580. Atlanta’s defense allows an average of 24.8 points per game, placing them 21st in the league.
Who do you think will triumph in the Chiefs-Falcons matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on the Chiefs -3.0
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