Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos Predictions and Odds for UFC Vegas 119 on 06/20/2026

• Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos: Fight Preview
• UFC Vegas 119 Event Details
• Venue: Meta Apex, Las Vegas
• Date: Saturday, June 20, 2026

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In an exciting clash at UFC Vegas 119, Karol Rosa will face off against Luana Santos on Saturday, June 20, 2026. The betting lines show Rosa at -108, while Santos is slightly favored at -112.

Karol Rosa boasts a professional record of 19 wins and 7 losses. At 31 years old, she weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5’5″ tall, with a reach of 67″. In contrast, the 26-year-old Luana Santos also weighs 135 lbs but is slightly taller at 5’6″ and shares the same reach of 67″. Santos enters the Octagon with a record of 10 wins and 2 losses. Looking at their striking stats, Rosa lands an impressive 5.88 significant strikes per minute, while Santos manages to land 2.99. Rosa showcases a striking accuracy of 56%, compared to Santos’s 52%. Defensively, Rosa absorbs 4.59 significant strikes per minute and successfully defends against 49% of her opponents’ strikes, whereas Santos allows 2.93 strikes and defends 63% of incoming attacks.

In terms of grappling, Karol Rosa is less efficient, achieving 1.17 takedowns per 3 rounds with a takedown success rate of 48%, while defending against 70% of all takedown attempts by opponents. Conversely, Luana Santos secures 47% of her attempted takedowns and boasts an impressive takedown defense at 85%. In submission attempts, Rosa averages 0.2 per 3 rounds, while Santos looks for submissions 1.2 times per 3 rounds.

In her most recent bout, Karol Rosa faced Nora Cornolle, winning by unanimous decision after three rounds. Cornolle landed 75 of 98 total strikes, while Rosa was dominant, landing 190 of 224 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Cornolle connected on 27 of 47, achieving a 57% accuracy rate. Rosa landed 33 of 58 significant strikes, with 56% accuracy, targeting the head effectively with 25 of 47 strikes connected. Notably, both fighters traded strikes at a distance, with 62% for Cornolle and 42% for Rosa landing from afar.

Luana Santos’s latest fight was against Melissa Croden, resulting in a unanimous decision victory for Santos in round 3. Santos landed an impressive 83% of her significant strikes from distance, connecting on 12 of 24 attempts, including 6 of 16 directed at the head. Croden totaled 81 significant strikes, landing only 22 of 74, showcasing Santos’s effective striking throughout the bout.

Other Notable Fights on the Card

One compelling matchup to watch is between Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi. Kape, with a record of 22-7-0, is a 32-year-old fighter weighing 125 lbs and measuring 5’5″ tall, boasting a reach of 68″. Horiguchi, fighting at the same weight, holds a 36-5-0 (1 NC) record and stands 5’4″ with a shorter reach of 63″. Kape averages 5.04 strikes per minute, striking effectively at a 56% accuracy, whereas Horiguchi connects on 3.77 strikes per minute with a 47% accuracy rate.

Another exciting matchup features Navajo Stirling facing Ion Cutelaba. With a record of 20-11-1 (1 NC), Cutelaba stands 6’1″ and fights at 205 lbs, while Stirling, at 6’4″ and 205 lbs, remains undefeated at 9-0-0. Cutelaba successfully defends against 75% of takedowns while completing 49% of his attempts, compared to Stirling’s 28% takedown success and 82% takedown defense. In terms of striking output, Cutelaba absorbs 3.28 strikes per minute, delivering 4.23, while Stirling dishes out an impressive 6.25 strikes per minute while absorbing only 2.67.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s highly-anticipated UFC match?

Pick: Luana Santos (-112)