Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland Analysis, 05/09/2026 UFC Vegas 117 Odds

Home » Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland Analysis, 05/09/2026 UFC Vegas 117 Odds

  • Khamzat Chimaev Meets Sean Strickland
  • UFC Vegas 117 Event
  • Meta APEX Venue, Las Vegas
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026

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Khamzat Chimaev will step into the Octagon to face Sean Strickland at UFC Vegas 117 on May 9, 2026. The betting odds show Chimaev favored at -600, while Strickland comes in at +425.

Khamzat “Borz” Chimaev boasts an undefeated record of 15-0-0. The 32-year-old fighter weighs 185 lbs and stands at 6’2″, with an impressive reach of 75 inches. Sean Strickland, on the other hand, stands 6’1″ and weighs the same at 185 lbs, holding a record of 30-7-0. This 35-year-old has a reach of 76 inches. When it comes to significant strikes, Chimaev lands an average of 4.04 strikes per minute compared to Strickland who connects with 6.04 per minute. Chimaev has an accuracy rate of 60%, while Strickland’s is 42%. Defensively, Chimaev allows 2.32 significant strikes per minute, while Strickland takes in 4.57. “Borz” defends against 43% of strikes aimed at him, whereas Strickland successfully deflects 60% of the incoming attacks.

UFC Predictions: Khamzat Chimaev Fight Odds
UFC Vegas 117 Khamzat Chimaev Sean Strickland
Opening Odds -600 +425
Record 15-0-0 30-7-0
Average Fight Duration 8:11 15:54
Height 6’2″ 6’1″
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 75″ 76″
Strikes Landed/Minute 4.04 6.04
Striking Accuracy 60% 42%

In terms of grappling, Khamzat Chimaev is known for his wrestling prowess, executing takedowns at a rate of 5.29 attempts per 15 minutes. He scores on 55% of his attempts and successfully defends against 85% of takedowns directed at him. Sean Strickland, meanwhile, achieves takedowns 64% of the time, defending against 76% of his opponent’s attempts. When it comes to submission attempts, Chimaev excels with 1.8 submissions per 15 minutes, while Strickland aims for just 0.2 submissions in the same duration.

Khamzat Chimaev last fought Dricus Du Plessis, securing a unanimous decision victory in round 5. In that bout, Plessis connected with 45 of 68 total strikes attempted. Chimaev, in contrast, landed an impressive 529 of 567 total strikes. Of his significant strikes, Plessis managed to land 13 of 29 for a 44% success rate, including 10 of 24 directed at the head. Chimaev boasted a remarkable 78% accuracy rate, connecting on 37 of 47 strikes, with 28 of those aimed at the head. Notably, 76% of Plessis’ significant strikes and 32% of Chimaev’s occurred at a distance.

In Strickland’s latest fight, he faced Anthony Hernandez, winning by TKO with a punch during the third round. Hernandez achieved 100% accuracy with his distant strikes, while Strickland connected on 91% from distance. Strickland landed 110 of 241 significant strikes, accruing a 45% accuracy rate, including 93 of 219 aimed at the head. Hernandez recorded 55 of 122 significant strikes, landing 29 of those directed at the head. Overall, Hernandez managed a total of 57 out of 124, while Strickland connected on 111 of 242 total strikes attempted.

Other Noteworthy Fights

A highly anticipated matchup features Joshua Van taking on Tatsuro Taira. Van enters the Octagon with a record of 16-2-0, standing 5’5″ and weighing 125 lbs. This 24-year-old fighter has a reach of 65 inches. Taira, at 5’7″ and also weighing 125 lbs, comes with an impressive record of 18-1-0 and a reach of 70 inches. In grappling, Van secures a takedown 0.84 times per 15 minutes, while Taira records 3.12 takedowns per 15 minutes. In striking, Van lands 8.84 strikes per minute with a 56% accuracy, as Taira connects on 60% of his attempts, averaging 2.94 strikes per minute.

Additionally, Waldo Cortes Acosta will clash with Alexander Volkov. Volkov carries a record of 39-11-0 and stands 6’7″, weighing in at 250 lbs, with an 80-inch reach. Cortes Acosta, 6’4″ and 260 lbs, holds a record of 17-2-0 and has a reach of 78 inches. In grappling metrics, Volkov defends against 68% of takedowns while completing 66% of his own, while Cortes Acosta executes 57% of his takedowns and successfully defends 72% of those against him. In striking, Volkov absorbs an average of 2.86 strikes/minute, landing 4.78, whereas Cortes Acosta absorbs 3.38 strikes/minute while connecting on 5.54.

Who will seize victory in tonight’s UFC event?

Prediction: Bet on Khamzat Chimaev (-600)

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Pick: Khamzat Chimaev (-600)
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