Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Analysis, 9/24/2026 WNBA Picks, Insights, and Odds

Home » Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Analysis, 9/24/2026 WNBA Picks, Insights, and Odds

  • Game: Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury
  • Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
  • Location: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
  • Broadcast: USA Network

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The upcoming clash at the Mortgage Matchup Center sees the Phoenix Mercury (16-27) pitted against the Las Vegas Aces (30-13) on Thursday evening.

In their latest outing, the Las Vegas Aces secured a victory against the Los Angeles Sparks with a score of 89-79. The Aces finished the match shooting at 48.6% from the field (34 of 70), sinking 11 of 28 three-point attempts. From the free throw line, they converted 10 of 14 for a success rate of 71.4%. On the boards, the Aces gathered a total of 29 rebounds, with 5 coming from offensive plays. Additionally, they recorded 21 assists, forced 13 turnovers, and amassed 8 steals. Defensively, Las Vegas allowed their opponents to hit 47.8% of their shots, as Los Angeles connected on 32 of 67 attempts. The Sparks managed 6 assists and 8 steals, along with 30 rebounds (6 offensive, 24 defensive) and 3 blocks. Los Angeles achieved a 72.7% success rate from the free throw line, making 8 of 11 attempts, and made 7 of 21 shots from beyond the arc.

WNBA odds and predictions for A'ja Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces

A’ja Wilson was outstanding in this contest, scoring 18 points on 7 of 15 shooting while playing for 32 minutes. She also notched 10 rebounds and 2 assists, shooting efficiently at 46.7% from the floor.

The Las Vegas Aces come into this matchup with a strong 30-13 record for the season. They are shooting 36.0% from three-point range (373 of 1,035) and an impressive 81.3% from the charity stripe. Averaging 91.3 points per game, they rank 3rd in the league and maintain a field goal percentage of 48.4%. The Aces average 12.0 turnovers and 17.5 fouls per game. They also collect 33.4 rebounds and lead the league with 943 assists. Defensively, they force an average of 13.1 turnovers per game while committing 19.6 fouls. Their opponents shoot 44.4% against them (562 of 841), and Las Vegas allows 33.4 rebounds per game. They rank 6th in the league for opponents’ points per game, giving up an average of 85.9 points, with a 35.0% shooting percentage from three-point range.

In their previous match, the Phoenix Mercury narrowly defeated the Dallas Wings, finishing 87-86. The Mercury achieved 26 defensive and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 32. They recorded only 5 turnovers while making 4 steals. The Wings committed 21 fouls, giving the Mercury 30 free throw attempts, of which they successfully made 26 (86.7%). From three-point territory, Phoenix converted 5 of 21 tries (23.8%). The Mercury ended the game shooting 28 of 67 from the field for a percentage of 41.8%. On defense, they allowed the Wings to shoot 31 of 74 for a 41.9% completion rate and permitted 10 of 23 from three-point land (43.5%). The Mercury finished the game making 14 of 21 free throws (66.7%) but allowed Dallas 42 total rebounds, including 11 offensive boards.

Kahleah Copper was a standout for the Mercury, scoring 31 points on 10 of 17 shooting (58.8%) and contributing 5 rebounds in her 34 minutes on the court.

Phoenix currently holds a record of 16-27 for the season. They have scored a total of 3,630 points, averaging 84.4 points per game, with 31.6 rebounds per game. The Mercury average 18.9 fouls each contest and maintain a free throw percentage of 79.0%. Offensively, they shoot 44.5% from the field, ranking 9th in the league. They assist 20.3 times on average, which is 10th in the WNBA, while committing 12.9 turnovers per game. Defensively, the Mercury rank 8th in the league, allowing 87.4 points per game. They force an average of 12.9 turnovers per game, allowing opponents to shoot 46.1% (ranked 10th in the league). Opponents average a 35.9% shooting percentage from three-point range against them and hit 78.7% of their free throw shots. They allow 21.4 assists and 34.0 rebounds per game, ranking them 12th and 11th, respectively, in the WNBA.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA showdown against the spread?

Pick: Bet on Las Vegas

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Pick: Las Vegas
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