Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov Prediction and Odds for UFC Abu Dhabi on 07/25/2026

• Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov
• UFC Abu Dhabi
• Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi
• Saturday, July 25, 2026

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On Saturday, July 25, 2026, UFC Abu Dhabi will host an exciting matchup between Magomed Ankalaev and Bogdan Guskov. The opening odds place Ankalaev at -550, with Guskov at +400.

Magomed Ankalaev arrives at this contest with a record of 21 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw (1 no contest). The 34-year-old fighter weighs in at 205 lbs and stands 6’3″ tall, featuring an impressive reach of 75 inches. In contrast, Bogdan “Hitman” Guskov is also 6’3″ and weighs the same 205 lbs. He approaches the Octagon with an 18-3-1 record, boasting a reach of 76 inches. Analyzing their striking stats, Ankalaev averages 3.65 significant strikes landed per minute, while Guskov manages to land 4.57. Ankalaev showcases a striking accuracy of 52%, compared to Guskov’s 55%. Defensively, Ankalaev absorbs 2.59 significant strikes per minute and successfully defends against 56% of incoming strikes, whereas Guskov absorbs 4.09 and defends 44% of them.

In terms of grappling, Magomed Ankalaev is more proficient, achieving takedowns 0.79 times every 15 minutes, with a successful takedown rate of 22%. He also defends against 87% of takedown attempts. Meanwhile, Guskov attempts takedowns successfully 15% of the time and defends against 57% of those attempts. When it comes to submissions, Ankalaev averages 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes, while Guskov aims for 0.7 finishes over the course of three rounds.

In his most recent fight, Magomed Ankalaev faced Alex Pereira, suffering a defeat in the first round due to an elbow strike. Pereira achieved an accuracy rate of 62%, landing 28 of 45 total strikes, whereas Ankalaev managed to connect on only 4 of 9 total strikes. Notably, Ankalaev missed on all 4 significant strikes aimed at the head.

Bogdan Guskov’s last Octagon appearance was against Jan Blachowicz, resulting in a majority draw after three rounds. Blachowicz displayed impressive striking, connecting on 88% of his significant strikes at distance. Guskov finished the bout landing 65% of his own significant strikes and managed a total of 80 out of 140. The striking numbers show that Blachowicz landed 84 of 149 significant strikes, while Guskov achieved 98 out of 160 attempted strikes.

Other Notable Fights to Watch

Don’t miss the matchup between Steve Erceg and Ramazan Temirov. Erceg holds a record of 14-4-0, weighs 125 lbs, and stands at 5’8″ with a reach of 68 inches. Temirov, on the other hand, has a record of 19-3-0, stands at 5’4″, and also fights at 125 lbs. In grappling stats, Erceg scores takedowns at a rate of 1.13 per three rounds, while Temirov manages 0.84 takedowns per 15 minutes. Striking wise, Erceg lands 4.64 strikes per minute at a 47% accuracy, while Temirov connects with 4.37 strikes at a 40% accuracy rate.

Also on the card is a compelling bout between Wellington Turman and Islam Dulatov. Dulatov enters with a record of 12-1-0, weighing in at 170 lbs and standing 6’3″ tall with a reach of 75 inches. Turman, at 6’0″ and also weighing 170 lbs, has a record of 18-8-0. In grappling, Dulatov successfully defends 85% of takedown attempts and completes his own 85% of the time. Turman completes just 20% of his takedowns and defends against 42% of attempts. In striking stats, Dulatov absorbs 4.24 strikes per minute while landing 8.78, whereas Turman absorbs 4.17 strikes and lands 3.23 per minute.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Take Magomed Ankalaev (-550)