MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones Prediction, 08/22/2026 UFC Sacramento Odds and Picks

• MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones
• UFC Sacramento Showdown
• Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
• Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026

This August, MarQuel Mederos will step into the Octagon to face Mason Jones at UFC Sacramento. The betting odds open with Mederos at +219 and Jones favored at -265.

MarQuel Mederos boasts a record of 11 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw. The 29-year-old fighter weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5’10” tall, with a reach of 69″. His opponent, Mason “The Dragon” Jones, is also 5’10” and weighs 155 lbs, seeking to improve his impressive record of 18 wins, 2 losses, and 0 draws (1 no contest). At 31 years old, Jones has a reach of 74″. In terms of striking, Mederos averages 5.46 significant strikes per minute while Jones lands 5.98 significant strikes per minute. Mederos has a striking accuracy of 58%, while Jones records a 42% accuracy rate. Defensively, Mederos allows 4.58 significant strikes per minute, and Jones absorbs 4.45 strikes. Mederos successfully deflects 52% of opponents’ significant strikes, compared to Jones’s 50%.

In grappling exchanges, MarQuel Mederos averages 0.23 takedowns per 3 rounds with an 8% success rate, successfully defending against 82% of takedowns from his adversaries. In contrast, Jones has a takedown success rate of 55%, successfully stopping 73% of takedown attempts against him. Mederos is more aggressive in seeking submissions, attempting 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds, while Jones averages 0.2 submission attempts every 15 minutes.

MarQuel Mederos’s last fight saw him in a closely contested matchup against Chris Padilla, ending in a majority decision draw in round 3. Throughout the bout, Padilla landed 164 out of 291 strikes. Mederos managed to connect 117 of 186 total strikes. Padilla’s significant strikes tally stood at 147 of 271, achieving an accuracy of 54%. Mederos matched the output with 62% accuracy, landing 112 out of 180 significant strikes, including 81 of 147 to the head. Notably, the majority of significant strikes from both fighters were landed at a distance.

Mason Jones’s latest encounter was against Axel Sola, where he triumphed via unanimous decision in round 3. Sola achieved a striking rate of 93% at distance, while Jones scored 75% at the same range. Jones landed 46% of his total strikes, totaling 110 of 236, with 76 of 193 to the head. Sola, in comparison, landed 65 of 135 significant strikes, with 49 of those hitting the head. In total strikes, Sola landed 68 out of 141, while Jones connected on 123 of 251.

Fights to Watch

Don’t miss the exciting matchup between Jamall Emmers and Lerryan Douglas. Emmers, with a record of 22-8-0, weighs in at 145 lbs and is 5’10” tall, boasting a 74″ reach. Douglas, on the other hand, is 5’9″, also fights at 145 lbs, and seeks to improve his record of 14-5-0 at 31 years old with a reach of 72″. In grappling, Emmers averages 2.59 takedowns per 3 rounds, significantly ahead of Douglas, who scores 0.80 takedowns per 15 minutes. In striking, Emmers connects at a rate of 5.10 strikes per minute with a 49% accuracy, while Douglas boasts an impressive 64% accuracy with 8.67 strikes landed per minute.

Another exciting matchup features Shamil Gaziev against Kennedy Nzechukwu. Nzechukwu, with a record of 14-6-1, stands tall at 6’5″ and weighs 236 lbs. As a southpaw, he enjoys an 83″ reach. Gaziev, at 6’4″ and 265 lbs, holds a record of 14-3-0. Wrestling stats show that Nzechukwu defends against takedowns 80% of the time, succeeding in 45% of his takedown attempts, while Gaziev clinches 33% of takedown attempts and stops 83% of those against him. Striking-wise, Nzechukwu absorbs 4.58 strikes per minute while delivering 4.96 strikes per minute. Conversely, Gaziev absorbs 4.92 strikes per minute and lands 2.94 strikes.

Will you tune in to see who claims victory in this anticipated UFC matchup?

Prediction: Back Mason Jones (-265)