- Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler
- UFC Edmonton Showdown
- Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta
- Scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026
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On Saturday, October 17, 2026, Melissa Croden will compete against Chelsea Chandler at UFC Edmonton. Currently, Croden is favored with a moneyline of -265, while Chandler is positioned at +225.
Melissa “Scare” Croden aims to improve her professional record of 8-3-0. The 35-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands at 5’9″ with a reach of 68 inches. Opposing her, Chelsea Chandler, also 135 lbs, stands 5’8″ tall and has a professional record of 7-4-0. Chandler shares Croden’s reach of 68 inches. In terms of significant strikes landed, Croden connects at a rate of 4.27 per minute compared to Chandler’s 3.52. Croden boasts a striking accuracy of 47%, while Chandler follows close behind with 45%. Defensively, Croden allows 2.13 significant strikes per minute, whereas Chandler allows 4.27. Croden successfully defends against 59% of significant strikes directed at her, while Chandler manages to defend against 40% of incoming strikes.
| Event: UFC Edmonton | Fighter: Melissa Croden | Fighter: Chelsea Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -265 | +225 |
| Record | 8-3-0 | 7-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 14:51 | 9:15 |
| Height | 5’9″ | 5’8″ |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 68″ | 68″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.27 | 3.52 |
| Striking Accuracy | 47% | 45% |
In terms of grappling, Croden stands as the more proficient wrestler, successfully taking her opponents down 2.02 times per three rounds. She completes 50% of her takedown attempts while defending against 66% of her opponents’ attempts. Conversely, Chandler successfully executes 60% of her takedowns and defends against 25% of those attempted on her. In submissions, Croden averages 0.5 attempts every three rounds, while Chandler averages 0.3 attempts per 15 minutes.
In her most recent Octagon appearance, Melissa Croden faced Daria Zhelezniakova and secured a unanimous decision victory by the end of round three. Zhelezniakova landed 81 of 163 total strikes attempted while Croden concluded the fight with 92 of 185. In significant strikes, Zhelezniakova achieved a 34% landing rate with 41 of 118, landing 30 to the head. Croden, however, landed 69 of 153 significant strikes for a 45% accuracy and hit her opponent’s head with 51 of 121 attempts. Notably, 85% of Zhelezniakova’s and 62% of Croden’s significant strikes were delivered from a distance.
During her last appearance in the Octagon, Chelsea Chandler faced Priscila Cachoeira, winning via armbar in the first round. Cachoeira connected on 85% of her significant strikes at distance, while Chandler matched with an impressive 81%. Chandler ended up with an overall accuracy of 44% by landing 11 of 25 significant strikes, 9 of which were to the head. Cachoeira managed to land 7 of 13 significant strikes, 6 of which were aimed at the head. Ultimately, in total strikes, Cachoeira landed 9 of 16 while Chandler landed 24 of 41 thrown.
Key Matchups to Watch
Keep an eye on another exciting matchup as Joaquin Buckley faces Mike Malott. Buckley comes in with a career record of 21-8-0, weighing 170 lbs and standing at 5’10”. The southpaw holds a reach of 76 inches. Malott, weighing 170 lbs, stands at 6’1″ with a record of 14-2-1. In grappling terms, Buckley executes 1.43 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Malott completes 1.63 takedowns per three rounds. In terms of striking, Buckley lands 3.62 strikes per minute with a 36% accuracy, whereas Malott hits 4.02 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 48%.
Another anticipated bout features SuYoung You against Cody Chovancek. Chovancek remains undefeated at 9-0-0, weighing 135 lbs and standing 5’8″. The switch fighter has a reach of 67 inches. You weighs in at 135 lbs and is 5’6″. With a record of 16-4-0 (including 2 NC), You possesses an arm span of 65 inches. In terms of takedown efficiency, Chovancek successfully defends against 83% of takedown attempts while finishing only 15% of his own attempts. You, by contrast, finishes 47% of his takedowns and defends against 66% of attempts against him. Striking-wise, Chovancek absorbs 2.46 strikes per minute, delivering 2.85, while You absorbs 2.01 strikes and dishes out 2.15.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC bout?
Prediction: Bet on Chelsea Chandler (+225)
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