- Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
- Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
- Location: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
- TV: Braves.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+106) Atlanta (-128)
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On Thursday, the Miami Marlins (58-56) are set to take on the Atlanta Braves (68-45) at Truist Park. The current betting odds show the Marlins at +106, whereas the Braves are positioned at -128. The over/under total is set at 8.5, with expected starting pitchers Janson Junk and Martin Perez on the mound.
This season, the Marlins have made 186 doubles and launched 118 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .406, they’ve struck out 925 times while drawing 379 walks. Overall, the Miami Marlins are averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them 17th in the league. They’ve successfully brought in 479 RBIs and managed a total of 946 hits, while batting .250. The team has scored a total of 498 runs and possesses a .325 on-base percentage this season.
With a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.49, the Marlins’ pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24. They’ve conceded 114 home runs and have allowed 487 runs overall, ranking 11th in the league. Miami has given up 863 hits (averaging 7.8 per 9 innings) alongside 444 earned runs. Their current team ERA stands at 3.99 (10th in MLB), with a total of 949 strikeouts recorded. They’ve issued 381 walks, leading to a collective FIP of 4.01 this season.
The bullpen of the Marlins boasts a save percentage of 65.1%, making appearances in 111 save situations. Throughout the season, they have managed to secure 28 saves but have failed in 15 of their 43 attempts. This year, relievers have inherited 142 base runners, with 21.1% of them scoring. The Marlins’ relief pitchers have been called upon with players on base 97 times and have made 111 appearances in critical situations. They have used 363 different relief pitchers, achieving 66 holds this season (ranked 11th in MLB).
This year, the Miami Marlins have achieved 3,003 putouts, 947 assists, and committed 73 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .982, ranking them 27th in MLB, while successfully turning 86 double plays. The Marlins have converted 70.8% of batted balls into outs during 9,009 innings, placing them 10th in professional baseball.
Junk, with a career record of 12-13, has a FIP of 4.70, facing 973 MLB batters. He’s allowed 255 hits (10.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 46 walks. His ERA is 4.77 with 121 earned runs given up, while his career WHIP is 1.319. Over 228 innings, Junk has registered 172 strikeouts throughout his MLB career.
The Braves, with a slugging percentage of .418, are scoring an average of 4.89 runs per game, placing them 6th in MLB. They have amassed 177 doubles, performed 337 walks, and recorded 553 runs. Atlanta has launched 152 home runs and collected 532 RBIs this season. They experience a total of 903 strikeouts (24th in the league) and have compiled 953 hits, while holding an OBP of .315 and batting average of .249.
On the pitching side, the Braves have a team WHIP of 1.243 and a FIP of 4.12. They hold a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (967 strikeouts against 387 walks) and are currently 4th in the league in total hits allowed (861). They’ve permitted 130 home runs and average 3.97 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The Braves’ pitching staff has given up 443 runs, with a season ERA of 3.66 (yielding 408 earned runs).
The Braves’ relief pitchers inherited 23.7% of 118 inherited runners scoring. The bullpen has been involved in high-leverage situations 125 times, including 83 appearances with runners on base. Out of 134 save opportunities, the Braves have secured 82 holds with 14 blown saves. They rank 7th in baseball with a save percentage of 71.4%, having utilized 361 bullpen pitchers this season.
With 92 double plays turned, the Atlanta Braves have a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in MLB). They recorded 924 assists, 54 errors, and successfully notched 3,013 putouts this campaign. Their defensive efficiency stands at 71.5% over 9,039 innings, ranking them 4th in professional baseball.
Throughout his MLB journey, Perez has allowed 1,825 hits and registered 1,228 strikeouts across 1,728 innings pitched. With a career win-loss record of 98-99, Perez has an earned run average of 4.35, permitting 9.5 hits per nine innings. He’s given up a total of 835 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.420 and a FIP of 4.3. His career strikeout to walk ratio is 1.95, with 7,468 batters faced thus far.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Take Atlanta (-128)
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