- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: Marquee Sports Network
- Betting Odds: Miami (+110) Chicago (-130)
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Wrigley Field is set to host an exciting clash as the Chicago Cubs (87-70) take on the Miami Marlins (77-80) this Thursday. The betting line favors Miami at +110, while Chicago stands at -130. The game features an over/under of 8.5, with Tyler Phillips and Clay Holmes expected to take the mound.
As a unit, the Miami Marlins are averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 16th in the league. The team has registered 700 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .327. They’ve hit 238 doubles and blasted 162 home runs, totaling 670 runs batted in and 1,306 hits this season, boasting a batting average of .249. Miami sits at a slugging percentage of .400 and has struck out 1,310 times, while earning 540 walks.
The Marlins’ pitching staff holds a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.34, with a collective WHIP of 1.29. This season, Marlins pitchers have surrendered 167 home runs and 697 runs, ranking 15th in the league. They’ve allowed 1,236 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 635 earned runs, achieving a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.13 (14th in MLB). Additionally, the pitching roster has fanned 1,282 batters while issuing 547 walks, with a FIP of 4.17 this year.
Miami’s pitchers have faced runners on base 145 times and have participated in 159 high-leverage situations, recording 88 holds (11th in MLB). Their relief staff has a save percentage of 60.0%, having entered 147 save situations and securing 33 saves while failing in 22 of 55 attempts. The bullpen has inherited 201 base runners this season, allowing 28.4% to score. A total of 528 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Miami this year.
The Miami Marlins have recorded 4,153 putouts, 1,312 assists, and 98 errors this season, resulting in a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in the majors). They’ve successfully turned 109 double plays, converting 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs across their 12,459 innings, putting them 11th among professional baseball teams.
Pitcher Tyler Phillips holds a career win-loss record of 11-8, with a FIP of 3.71. He has faced 993 batters, yielding 219 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and 83 walks, while maintaining an ERA of 3.77 (99 earned runs allowed) and a career WHIP of 1.278. Phillips has logged 236 innings and accumulated 179 strikeouts thus far in his career.
The Cubs have hit 217 home runs this season with a total of 791 RBIs. They’ve recorded 266 doubles, drawn 659 walks, and scored 837 runs. The Chicago Cubs have an on-base percentage of .339 and a team batting average of .251 for the year. They lead the league with a slugging percentage of .430 and an impressive 5.33 runs scored per game (1st in the league). They have struck out 1,311 times (15th) and have collected 1,357 hits.
Chicago’s pitching staff has compiled a WHIP of 1.263, with a FIP of 4.64 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 7.90, accounting for 1,226 strikeouts against 483 walks. Ranking 17th in total hits allowed (1,290), the Cubs have given up 229 home runs and allow 4.43 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Cubs’ pitching staff has conceded 691 runs this season with an ERA of 4.17, allowing 651 earned runs.
This season, the Cubs have seen relief pitchers in 62 save opportunities, collecting 34 saves, alongside 55 holds and 28 blown saves. Their bullpen has faced 154 high-leverage situations and 161 with runners on base. Although they rank 26th in the league with a save rate of 54.8%, they have employed 504 relievers throughout the season.
Across 12,636 innings, the Cubs boast a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (3rd in MLB). They have turned 118 double plays this season and hold the highest fielding percentage at .990. The Cubs have tallied 1,488 assists, 59 errors, and 4,212 putouts so far this year.
Clay Holmes, with a 40-34 record, has achieved a 3.53 earned run average, allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He maintains a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.25 and has faced 2,383 batters during his career. Holmes has surrendered 218 earned runs while recording a WHIP of 1.284 and a FIP of 3.5. Over his career, Holmes has allowed 476 hits and accumulated 534 strikeouts over 555 innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Miami (+110)
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