- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2026
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: Marquee
- Betting Odds: Miami (+102) Chicago (-122)
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The Chicago Cubs (87-69) will face off against the Miami Marlins (76-80) at Wrigley Field this Tuesday. The betting line positions Miami at +102 while Chicago is favored at -122. The total runs over/under is fixed at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Janson Junk and Shota Imanaga.
This season, the Miami Marlins have averaged 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 17th in Major League Baseball. The team has amassed a total of 692 runs scored, contributing to a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .327. Miami has hit 237 doubles and 161 home runs, amassing 662 RBIs alongside 1,295 hits, resulting in an overall batting average of .249. Their slugging percentage stands at .400, and they have recorded 1,296 strikeouts while collecting 537 walks this season.
The Marlins’ pitching has an earned run average (ERA) of 4.16, positioning them 16th in the league, with 1,265 strikeouts recorded by their staff. They have allowed 167 home runs and a total of 695 runs (17th in the league). The pitching staff has issued 542 walks, resulting in a collective Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) of 4.19 this season. Miami has permitted 1,229 hits at a rate of 8.1 hits per 9 innings, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.29.
The Marlins’ relievers maintain a 61.1% save rate, having participated in 145 save opportunities. They collected 33 saves this season while failing to convert 21 out of 54 attempts. The relief corps has inherited 199 runners, with 28.1% of them scoring. This season, Marlins relief pitchers have faced 141 games with runners and made 153 high-stakes appearances. The team has utilized 520 relief pitchers, recording 88 holds (11th in the league).
In terms of defense, the Marlins convert 70.5% of balls in play into outs over their 12,351 defensive innings, ranking 11th overall in MLB. They have notched 4,117 putouts, along with 1,303 assists and 97 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982, ranking them 28th in the league, with 109 double plays turned.
Janson Junk has pitched 264 innings, accumulating 189 strikeouts in his career, with an ERA of 4.70 (138 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.322. He has allowed 294 hits (10.0 hits per 9 innings) and issued 55 walks. Junk has a career record of 13-16, a FIP of 4.63, and has faced 1,123 batters in his major league tenure.
The Chicago Cubs, boasting 217 home runs and 790 RBIs this season, have hit 264 doubles and drawn 654 walks, ranking first in the league with an impressive 835 runs. They have registered a .340 OBP and a batting average of .252, with a slugging percentage of .432 and an average of 5.35 runs scored per game (1st in MLB). However, they’ve faced 1,294 strikeouts (16th in the league) and recorded 1,350 hits this season.
This season, the Cubs maintain a team WHIP of 1.264 and a FIP of 4.64. They have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.80 (1,212 strikeouts vs. 480 walks), currently ranking 17th in the league for total hits allowed (1,279). They have conceded 228 home runs and allowed 4.42 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league), with a season total of 683 runs against them, producing a team ERA of 4.16.
With 124 save chances, the Cubs have recorded 55 holds and 28 blown saves. The bullpen has entered in 62 save situations, successfully converting 34 into saves. Their inherited runners have a scoring rate of 33.6% from a total of 223 situations. The relievers have made 150 high-pressure appearances and 158 with runners on base, ranking 26th in MLB with a save percentage of 54.8%. The Cubs have used 498 relief pitchers this season.
Across 12,528 innings, the Cubs have posted a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (3rd in MLB). They have executed 118 double plays and possess a .990 fielding percentage (1st in MLB). The Cubs have recorded 1,478 assists, 59 errors, and 4,176 putouts throughout the season.
In his career, Imanaga has allowed 415 hits, registering 455 strikeouts over 486 innings. His ERA stands at 3.46, having given up 187 earned runs, a WHIP of 1.041, and a FIP of 3.40. He maintains a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 5.00, facing 1,944 opposing hitters thus far. Imanaga holds a career record of 35-21 and allows 7.7 hits per 9 innings pitched.
Who do you think will win tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Select Miami (+102)
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