- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
- Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Miami (+125) | New York (-150)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
On Saturday, the Miami Marlins (55-55) will visit Citi Field to face the New York Mets (47-63). The moneyline for this matchup has the Marlins at +125 and the Mets at -150, with an over/under set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Tyler Phillips and Zac Thornton.
The Marlins have recorded 180 doubles and hit 114 home runs as a team. With a slugging percentage of .407, they have struck out 899 times while drawing 368 walks. Currently, the Miami Marlins are scoring an average of 4.4 runs per game, ranking 16th in the MLB. They have 464 RBIs and 915 hits this season, holding a batting average of .251. Their total run count stands at 483, with an on-base percentage of .326.
Miami holds a K/BB ratio of 2.46, while their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.25. This season, Marlins pitchers have allowed 110 home runs and given up 479 total runs, ranking 14th in the MLB. Their staff has permitted 837 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and has a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.08, setting them at 11th in the league, with 918 strikeouts overall. With a FIP of 4.03, the Marlins have walked 373 batters this season.
The Marlins’ bullpen has a save conversion rate of 62.5%, having entered 104 save situations. They have secured 25 saves, with 15 blown opportunities out of 40 chances. This year, relief pitchers have inherited 137 runners, with a 21.9% scoring rate. They have appeared 94 times with inherited runners and faced high-pressure situations on 107 occasions. The Marlins have called on 352 relievers this season, resulting in 62 holds (11th in the league).
With a defensive efficiency of 70.6%, Miami has recorded 2,898 putouts, 913 assists, and 71 errors this season, securing a fielding average of .982 (25th in the majors). They have turned 84 double plays.
Starter Tyler Phillips has pitched 198 innings, accumulating 143 strikeouts over his career. His career record stands at 8-7, with a FIP of 3.80. Facing 835 hitters, he has an ERA of 3.86, allowing 85 earned runs and a WHIP of 1.292. Phillips has given up 187 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) along with 69 walks.
The Mets hold a .382 slugging percentage and average 4.12 runs scored per game (26th in MLB). They have recorded 135 doubles, 353 walks, and 453 runs. The team has 129 home runs and 431 RBIs, with 928 strikeouts (13th in MLB) and 861 total hits. New York boasts a team on-base percentage of .305 and a batting average of .233.
The Mets’ pitching staff has allowed 502 runs this season, with an ERA of 4.11 (447 earned runs). They have given up 120 home runs and allow 4.61 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). With a team WHIP of 1.293 and a FIP of 3.99, their K/BB ratio stands at 9.20 (998 strikeouts vs. 383 walks). They rank 15th in total hits allowed with 883.
New York’s bullpen has a save rate of 59.4%, having used 337 pitchers this season. Relief pitchers have entered high-pressure scenarios 115 times, with 104 occasions facing runners on base. Out of 74 save opportunities, they have recorded 42 holds and 13 blown saves. New York’s relief staff has managed to secure 19 saves out of 32 save chances, inheriting 28.7% of runners from a total of 143.
In 8,817 innings played, the Mets rank 19th in defensive efficiency (69.4%). They have also turned 67 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in MLB). This season, they have achieved 890 assists, committed 73 errors, and recorded 2,939 putouts.
Zac Thornton has allowed 20 hits in his career over 29 innings, striking out 22 batters. With a 2-1 career record, he has a 2.47 earned run average and permits 6.2 hits per nine innings. His total runs allowed is 8, with a WHIP of 0.925 and a FIP of 2.4. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.14 after facing 110 batters.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Back New York (-150) and take the under on 9 runs
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
