- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: Miami (+106) Philadelphia (-128)
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On Wednesday, Citizens Bank Park will host a clash between the Philadelphia Phillies (67-58) and the Miami Marlins (64-61). The moneyline for this matchup places Miami at +106 while Philadelphia stands at -128. The game total is set at 8.5 runs. Starting pitchers include Sandy Alcantara for Miami and Aaron Nola for Philadelphia.
The Marlins have a slugging percentage of .403 with 1,017 strikeouts and have drawn 421 walks this season. They have accumulated 528 RBIs and have 1,036 hits, yielding a batting average of .250. The team has recorded 200 doubles and launched 128 home runs, totaling 550 runs scored and maintaining an on-base percentage of .326. As a unit, Miami averages 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 19th in Major League Baseball.
Miami boasts a team ERA of 3.92 this season, ranking 10th in the league, with 1,045 strikeouts recorded by their pitching staff. They’ve surrendered 127 home runs and a total of 530 runs, also placing them 10th in MLB. The Marlins have allowed 414 walks, resulting in a FIP of 3.98 this season. The team has given up 949 hits (7.8 per nine innings) and 478 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.52, and the team has a WHIP of 1.24.
Miami’s relief pitchers have achieved a save percentage of 65.9% in 115 save opportunities, securing 29 saves and failing in 15 of their 44 chances. The relievers have inherited 151 runners this season, with a 23.2% scoring rate. They’ve worked in high-pressure situations 115 times and have used 398 pitchers over the course of the season. The bullpen has accumulated 69 holds, placing them 12th in MLB.
The Marlins have successfully converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs across 9,873 innings, ranking them 10th in the league. With 3,291 putouts, 1,030 assists, and 81 errors, their fielding percentage is at .982, which ranks 29th in MLB, along with a total of 92 double plays.
Alcantara has logged 1,245 innings in his MLB career, with a total of 1,061 strikeouts. His earned run average stands at 3.62 (allowing 501 earned runs) and he has a WHIP of 1.175. Alcantara has given up 1,087 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) while issuing 376 walks. With a career record of 65-74, he has faced 5,127 hitters in the majors, resulting in a FIP of 3.57.
The Philadelphia Phillies hold an on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .239 this season. They’ve been struck out 1,069 times (8th in MLB) and have secured 1,002 hits. The team has amassed 154 home runs and 539 RBIs, maintaining a slugging percentage of .401 and averaging 4.46 runs per game (15th in MLB). They’ve also hit 178 doubles, earned 399 walks, and scored 558 runs during the season.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.306 and a FIP of 3.77. They rank 24th in MLB for hits allowed, with 1,065. This season, their pitchers have given up 549 runs, boasting a 4.16 team ERA. With a K/BB ratio of 10.00 (1,231 strikeouts against 382 walks), they’ve allowed 147 home runs and yield 4.46 runs per nine innings (16th in MLB).
The bullpen ranks 13th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, having utilized 419 relief pitchers this year. Their relievers have appeared in high-pressure situations 117 times and have faced runners on base 97 times. The Phillies have recorded 100 save opportunities, tallying 50 holds and experiencing 16 blown saves. With 48 save chances, Philadelphia’s pitchers have secured 32 saves, and they have an inherited scoring rate of 36.9% from their 130 inherited runners.
The Phillies have turned 75 double plays and maintained a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in MLB). So far, they have achieved 1,023 assists, committed 62 errors, and have recorded 3,326 putouts during the season. Their defensive efficiency is at 67.4% across 9,978 innings played (29th in the majors).
Nola has a career record of 113-98 with a 3.94 earned run average, allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 4.07, and he has faced 7,606 batters throughout his MLB career. Nola has allowed 807 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.171 and a FIP of 3.9. He has given up 1,665 hits while striking out a total of 2,014 batters over 1,845 innings.
Who will take the win in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Philadelphia (-128)
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