- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: Padres.TV
- Odds: Miami (+120) San Diego (-144)
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The San Diego Padres (84-69) face off against the Miami Marlins (76-77) at Petco Park this Saturday. Current betting odds show Miami at +120 and San Diego at -144, with an over/under set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers for this matchup are Eury Perez and Casey Mize.
This season, the Marlins have amassed 234 doubles and launched 157 home runs. Their team slugging percentage stands at .401, with a total of 1,269 strikeouts and 524 walks. The Marlins average 4.5 runs per game, placing them 17th in the league. They have driven in 651 runs and have achieved 1,272 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .249 and an on-base percentage of .327.
The Marlins’ pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.28, having allowed 160 home runs and 673 total runs (12th overall in the league). Miami’s pitchers have given up 1,196 hits, making it 8.0 per 9 innings, along with 613 earned runs. The team holds a collective ERA of 4.10, ranking 14th in MLB, and they’ve struck out 1,238 batters. They also have walked 532 batters, with a year-long FIP of 4.16.
Entering games with runners on base, Marlins pitchers have faced this situation 137 times and have logged 150 appearances in high-pressure scenarios. The bullpen has recorded 88 holds (11th in MLB) with a save percentage of 62.3%, having converted 33 of 53 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 194 runners, with 27.8% crossing the plate. This season, the Marlins have used 510 relief pitchers.
Overall, the Miami Marlins have achieved 4,041 putouts, 1,279 assists, and 95 errors, producing a fielding percentage of .982, which ranks 27th in the league. They currently have 108 double plays and convert 70.6% of balls in play into outs across 12,123 innings, coming in at 11th overall in MLB.
Eury Perez has pitched 330 innings, recording 368 strikeouts throughout his MLB career. With a career record of 19-23, his FIP stands at 3.78, having faced 1,361 batters. Perez has an earned run average of 3.84 with 141 ER allowed and a WHIP of 1.157, conceding 255 hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) alongside 127 walks.
On the other side, the San Diego Padres have logged 172 home runs and 644 RBIs this season. They also have 223 doubles, 526 walks, and a total of 668 runs scored. With an on-base percentage of .318 and a team batting average of .242, the Padres recorded a slugging percentage of .397. They average 4.37 runs per game, ranking 20th in the league with 1,230 strikeouts (22nd in MLB) and 1,228 total hits.
The Padres own a WHIP of 1.286 and a FIP of 4.17 this year. They register an overall strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.20 (1,240 strikeouts against 515 walks), sitting 13th in hits allowed with 1,228. San Diego has given up 170 home runs and allows 4.24 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB), and have a team ERA of 3.95, yielding 594 earned runs.
The Padres’ relievers have a 31.9% inherited score rate from 238 inherited runners. Their bullpen has been called to high-pressure situations 181 times and faced runners on base 146 times, achieving 98 holds and suffering 18 blown saves with a save percentage of 72.3%, ranking 6th in MLB. They have utilized 516 relievers this season.
Defensively, the San Diego Padres have recorded 122 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .989, positioning them 4th in MLB. They have made 1,358 assists, recorded 63 errors, and tallied 4,066 putouts this season, with a defensive efficiency of 70.7% across 12,198 innings, ranking 10th in professional baseball.
Casey Mize, with a career record of 25-28, has a 4.34 earned run average, allowing 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.91 after facing 2,038 hitters in his career. He has conceded 230 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.306 and a FIP of 4.3. Throughout his career, Mize has allowed 490 hits and registered 387 strikeouts over 477 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or on the moneyline?
Choice: Take Miami (+120)
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