- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Miami (+125) Tampa Bay (-145)
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On Sunday, the Tampa Bay Rays (28-14) face off against the Miami Marlins (20-24) at Tropicana Field. The current moneyline has Miami at +125 and Tampa Bay at -145, with an over/under set at 9. The starting pitchers for this matchup are expected to be Eury Perez and Drew Rasmussen.
This season, the Miami Marlins have achieved a slugging percentage of .371, striking out 356 times while walking 150 times. They have accumulated 175 runs batted in along with 353 hits, maintaining a batting average of .243. As a collective unit, the Marlins have hit 68 doubles and 33 home runs, totaling 186 runs with an on-base percentage of .322. Their offensive performance averages 4.2 runs per game, placing them 19th in the league.
The Marlins have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.22, with their pitching staff recording a WHIP of 1.27. They have conceded 37 home runs and a total of 196 runs (ranked 18th in MLB). Miami’s pitchers have surrendered 326 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 179 earned runs, resulting in an earned run average of 4.17 (17th in MLB). They have also logged 369 strikeouts while walking 166 batters, with a team FIP of 3.87.
When it comes to relief pitching, the Marlins have encountered runners in scoring positions 32 times and have made 39 appearances in crucial situations. The bullpen has notched 23 holds this season (19th in MLB), with a save rate of 63.2%. Out of 43 save opportunities, they have converted 12, with 7 blown saves. Overall, 135 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Miami this year.
Defensively, the Miami Marlins have accumulated 1,160 putouts, 349 assists, and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .981, placing them 28th in MLB, with 28 double plays turned. They convert 70.9% of balls in play into outs, ranked 9th in MLB over 3,480 innings played.
Perez, holding a career record of 14-17, features a FIP of 3.91 and has faced 966 batters in the majors. He has allowed 181 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and recorded 87 walks, boasting an earned run average of 3.97 (103 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.149. Over 233 innings, he has racked up 266 strikeouts in his MLB journey.
The Tampa Bay Rays have recorded a team slugging percentage of .375, averaging 4.50 runs per game (11th in MLB). With 51 doubles and 34 homers, they’ve walked 139 times and scored a total of 189 runs. They’ve struck out 301 times (29th in MLB) and collected 364 hits, while maintaining a team on-base percentage of .330 and a batting average of .257 this season.
With a team WHIP of 1.169, the Rays hold a FIP of 4.02. Ranking 3rd in MLB, their pitching staff has allowed the fewest hits, totaling 306. This season, Rays pitchers have given up 167 runs and hold an ERA of 3.50 (147 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 7.80 (327 strikeouts versus 136 walks). They’ve allowed 43 home runs while yielding just 3.97 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB).
The Rays’ bullpen presents an inherited score rate of 27.3% with 55 inherited runners. They have appeared in 49 high-pressure situations and 43 times with runners on base. Out of 62 save chances, they have made 36 holds and experienced 7 blown saves. Their 73.1% save rate ranks 5th in MLB, with 138 different relievers called into action this season.
In 3,408 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 73.3% (2nd in professional baseball). With 25 double plays, their fielding percentage is .981 (29th in MLB), complemented by 340 assists, 29 errors, and 1,136 putouts.
Rasmussen, with a career ERA of 2.92, has allowed 404 hits in 502 innings, earning 471 strikeouts. Holding a 33-18 record, he allows 7.2 hits per nine innings, conceding 163 earned runs during his career, with a WHIP of 1.055 and a FIP of 2.9. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.74, he has faced 2,010 opposing hitters.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown, covering the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Miami (+125)
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