- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-196) Cincinnati (+162)
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The Cincinnati Reds (67-73) will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (87-54) at Great American Ball Park this Saturday. The Brewers are favored at -196, while the Reds stand at +162. The game’s total is set at 8.5 runs, featuring pitchers Dustin May and Andrew Abbott on the mound.
As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring an impressive average of 5.0 runs per game, ranking 3rd in the major leagues. They have accumulated 705 runs with an on-base percentage of .339. The Brewers have recorded 246 doubles and hit 131 home runs so far this season. They also have 665 RBIs and 1,226 hits with a batting average of .256. Their slugging percentage stands at .399, with a total of 1,176 strikeouts and 579 walks.
This season, the Brewers boast a strong team ERA of 3.47, placing them 2nd in MLB, and their pitchers have struck out 1,347 batters. They have allowed 148 home runs and 534 runs in total (also 2nd in the league). The pitching staff has issued 446 walks and carries a FIP of 3.68. Moreover, they have conceded 1,029 hits (averaging 7.4 hits per 9 innings) and 486 earned runs, leading to a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.17.
The Brewers’ relief team has achieved a 71.0% save rate, entering into 138 save situations. They have successfully made 44 saves, but have also blown 18 out of 62 opportunities. The bullpen has faced 152 inherited runners this season, with a 40.8% scoring rate against them. Additionally, they have made 135 appearances in critical situations, totaling 429 relief pitching appearances and 75 holds (16th in MLB).
Defensively, the Brewers have recorded 3,779 putouts, 1,106 assists, and 64 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .987, ranking them 9th overall. They’ve successfully turned 105 double plays this season and converted 71.2% of balls in play into outs, placing them 6th in professional baseball over 11,337 innings.
Dustin May has pitched for a total of 343 innings, accumulating 313 strikeouts in his MLB career. He holds a career ERA of 4.01 with 153 earned runs allowed, a WHIP of 1.221, and has allowed 296 hits (averaging 7.8 hits per nine innings). His career record stands at 20-22 with a FIP of 3.95, having faced 1,444 batters throughout his tenure in the majors.
The Cincinnati Reds, struggling at 24th in the league, have a slugging percentage of .396 and average 4.15 runs per game. They’ve hit 197 doubles, walked 499 times, and have scored 581 runs. The team has launched 186 home runs this year but has also struck out 1,329 times (2nd in the league) while recording 1,064 hits. Their on-base percentage is .307 and batting average stands at .228 for the season.
This season, the Reds have surrendered 689 runs leading to a team ERA of 4.64 (641 earned runs). They’ve allowed 180 home runs and are giving up 4.99 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league). Their WHIP is at 1.424 with a FIP of 4.71, and their K/BB ratio is 8.20 (1,129 strikeouts to 567 walks). The Reds currently rank 24th in the league in total hits conceded, totaling 1,201.
In save situations, the Reds have attained a save percentage of 63.8%, having sent 492 relievers to the mound this season. Their bullpen has been involved in 171 high leverage situations and 149 with runners on base. Out of 138 save opportunities, they have secured 77 holds but have blown 21 chances. Cincinnati has converted 37 of 58 save situations.
On defense, the Reds have a .984 fielding percentage (19th in professional baseball) and have turned 96 double plays, totaling 1,125 assists, 78 errors, and 3,726 putouts this year. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.7%, ranking them 16th in MLB.
Andrew Abbott has allowed 519 hits during his career while achieving 498 strikeouts across 561 innings. His record stands at 34-33 with a 3.70 earned run average and an average of 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 231 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.297, while his FIP is recorded at 3.6. Abbott maintains a K/BB ratio of 2.38 and has faced 2,378 batters in his career.
Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Opt for Milwaukee (-196)
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