- Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
- Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Bets/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-150) Miami (+125)
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On Friday, LoanDepot Park will host the matchup between the Miami Marlins (9-10) and the Milwaukee Brewers (9-8). The moneyline for this game positions Milwaukee at -150 while Miami sits at +125. The total runs for this contest is projected at 9, with Robert Gasser and Janson Junk slated to be the starting pitchers.
The Brewers have accumulated a total of 24 doubles and launched 18 home runs this season. Currently, Milwaukee boasts a slugging percentage of .382 and has recorded 145 strikeouts, alongside 86 walks. As a collective, the Milwaukee Brewers are averaging 5.2 runs per game, placing them 6th in the league. Their season stats include 86 RBIs and 134 hits, contributing to a team batting average of .237. With 89 runs scored, their on-base percentage (OBP) stands at .339.
This season, the Brewers’ pitching staff has an ERA of 4.17 (18th in the league), alongside 155 strikeouts. They have allowed 17 home runs and surrendered 74 runs (ranking 11th in MLB). With 68 walks issued, their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.06. The Brewers have given up 137 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 70 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.36.
The Brewers’ bullpen has a save percentage of 62.5%, having entered 19 save situations. Out of 8 save opportunities, they have secured 5 saves but have also blown 3. So far, they have inherited 28 runners, with 42.9% scoring. This season, the relievers have appeared in 60 games, earning 11 holds (13th in Major League Baseball).
On the other hand, the Miami Marlins have recorded 453 putouts, alongside 151 assists and 6 errors this season. Their fielding percentage of .990 ranks them 8th in the majors, and they have achieved 12 double plays. The Brewers have converted 69.0% of balls in play to outs over their 1,359 innings, landing them 21st overall.
Expected starter Gasser (career record of 2-2) has a FIP of 2.67, facing 143 major league hitters. He has allowed 33 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and issued 5 walks. His earned run average stands at 2.71 (10 earned runs), and his career WHIP is 1.145. Thus far, Gasser has thrown 33 innings, accumulating 21 strikeouts.
The Miami Marlins are currently recording a slugging percentage of .398 and scoring 4.63 runs per game (ranked 12th in MLB). They have hit 32 doubles, drawn 61 walks, and amassed 88 runs. The Marlins have 14 home runs and a total of 86 RBIs, while striking out 151 times (19th in the league) and compiling 163 hits. Miami has a team OBP of .332 and a batting average of .259 this season.
Marlins pitchers have given up 86 runs, holding a team ERA of 4.15 (76 earned runs surrendered), along with 19 home runs allowed. They concede 4.69 runs per 9 innings (20th in the MLB) and hold a WHIP of 1.248, with a team FIP of 4.05. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.00 (165 strikeouts to 68 walks), ranking 10th in the league for total hits allowed with 138.
In 18 save situations this season, the Marlins have recorded 9 holds and 3 blown saves. Their relievers have appeared in 8 save opportunities and successfully notched 5 saves. Miami’s bullpen has a 35.3% inherited score rate, with relief pitchers participating in 15 high leverage situations and facing base runners on 11 occasions. They are tied for 15th in MLB with a save success rate of 62.5%, calling on 53 relievers this year.
This season, the Marlins have completed 1,485 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (11th in the league). Their fielding percentage stands at .977 (28th in professional baseball) with 9 double plays, 145 assists, and 495 putouts.
Throughout his career, Junk has surrendered 189 hits and recorded 123 strikeouts in 166 innings pitched. With a career win-loss record of 7-9, Junk has an ERA of 4.82, allowing 10.2 hits per nine innings, while conceding 89 earned runs. He holds a WHIP of 1.306 and a FIP of 4.7, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.39, facing 705 opposing batters during his MLB tenure.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the point spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Back Milwaukee (-150)
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