- Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2026
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-132) Philadelphia (+110)
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The Milwaukee Brewers, boasting a record of 98-58, are set to clash with the Philadelphia Phillies (86-70) at Citizens Bank Park this Tuesday. The odds for this matchup position Milwaukee at -132, while Philadelphia stands at +110. The over/under for runs is set at 8.5. Pitching duties will fall to Dustin May and Zack Wheeler.

The Brewers have recorded 270 doubles as a team, alongside 149 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .403, they have struck out 1,323 times while amassing 648 walks. Averaging 5.1 runs per game places them 2nd in the league. To date, they have racked up 758 RBIs and 1,369 hits, holding a team batting average of .258 and totaling 802 runs scored with an on-base percentage of .341.
Boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.98, the Brewers’ pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19. They have given up 165 home runs and a total of 600 runs this season (ranking 4th in the league). Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 1,155 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings), with 548 of those being earned runs. Their team ERA stands at an impressive 3.54 (2nd in MLB), having struck out 1,492 batters while issuing 500 walks, resulting in a team FIP of 3.71.
During high-pressure situations, Brewers relievers have faced opponents with runners on base 127 times and have made 155 high-leverage appearances. Their efforts have yielded 82 holds this season (18th in MLB). The bullpen boasts a save rate of 71.8%, having entered 155 save situations and successfully converting 51 of them while failing on 20 attempts. The relief pitchers have inherited 185 runners this year, with 37.8% scoring as earned runs. The Brewers have deployed 490 relief pitchers throughout this season.
The Brewers have successfully converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs across 12,543 innings, ranking 8th in professional baseball. This year, the Milwaukee defense has recorded 4,181 putouts, 1,224 assists, and 68 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB) along with 116 double plays.
Dustin May has pitched for 355 innings in his MLB career, accumulating 328 strikeouts. With a 21-22 career record, he has a FIP of 3.94 and has faced 1,496 batters. His earned run average is at 4.00 (allowing 158 ERs) with a career WHIP of 1.222, having given up 309 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) while walking 125 batters.
The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .397 and average 4.47 runs per game (14th in MLB). They have recorded 232 doubles, drawn 506 walks, and scored 697 runs this season. With 179 home runs and 677 RBIs, they have struck out 1,282 times (ranking 18th in MLB) and collected 1,260 hits. Philadelphia’s on-base percentage is .312 with a team batting average of .241 in the current season.
The Phillies maintain a team WHIP of 1.286 and possess a FIP of 3.81. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 9.80 (1,510 strikeouts to 468 walks). Defensively, they sit 21st in the league for total hits allowed with 1,312, having given up 184 home runs and averaging 4.34 runs per nine innings (10th in MLB). Their pitching staff has allowed a total of 668 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.01 (616 ERs allowed).
Philadelphia’s relief staff has seen 162 inherited runners with a score percentage of 37.7%. They have made 153 appearances in high-leverage situations while facing base runners on 117 occasions. The Phillies have navigated 139 save situations, recording 73 holds and 23 blown saves this season. With a save percentage of 64.1%, they rank 15th in MLB, deploying 510 relief pitchers throughout the year.
The Philadelphia defense has completed 101 double plays and holds a fielding rate of .986 (14th in MLB). They have achieved 1,290 assists, recorded 77 errors, and tallied 4,153 putouts during this season. In 12,459 innings of play, they have a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (28th in baseball).
In his MLB career, Wheeler has allowed 1,588 base hits while accumulating 1,997 strikeouts over 1,878 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 680 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.131 and a FIP of 3.2. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.73, he has faced 7,685 batters in his career. Wheeler boasts a career record of 126-80 and a 3.26 ERA, allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings.
Who do you think will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Back Philadelphia (+110) and the under for 8.5 runs.
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