Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Game Outlook, 9/17/2026 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Game Outlook, 9/17/2026 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Event Date: Thursday, September 17, 2026
  • Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
  • Broadcasting: SportsNet Pittsburgh
  • Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-122), Pittsburgh (+102)

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On Thursday, the Pittsburgh Pirates (75-76) face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (94-57) at PNC Park. The moneyline reflects the Brewers at -122 while the Pirates are at +102. The total runs for this game are set at 8. Anticipated starting pitchers include Dustin May and Khristian Curtis.

MLB Picks: Joey Ortiz's Insights on Milwaukee Brewers Predictions and Odds

The Brewers sport a slugging percentage of .406 and have struck out 1,267 times, while earning 626 walks. They have notched 739 RBIs along with 1,331 hits this season, which brings their batting average to .259. The team has recorded 265 doubles and hit 146 home runs, accumulating 783 runs scored. Milwaukee’s on-base percentage stands at .342 and they average 5.2 runs per game, ranking them second in the MLB.

The Milwaukee Brewers have achieved a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.56 this season, ranking second in the league, with a total of 1,443 strikeouts. Their pitchers have surrendered 160 home runs and 584 runs (fourth in the league). With 485 walks issued, the team has a collective fielding independent pitching (FIP) of 3.71 this year. They have allowed 1,116 hits, averaging 7.4 per 9 innings, resulting in 533 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.98, and they hold a WHIP of 1.19.

The Brewers have sent 467 relievers to the mound this season. The relief staff has seen 173 inherited base runners, with 40.5% scoring. They have 76 holds (21st in the league) and have faced runners on base 119 times, appearing in 145 high-leverage situations. With 47 saves recorded, they blown 19 of 66 save opportunities, yielding a save rate of 71.2% across 143 save situations.

This season, Milwaukee has accumulated 4,046 putouts, alongside 1,180 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is an impressive .987, placing them ninth in the Major Leagues, with 112 double plays completed. The Brewers convert 71.0% of balls in play into outs, ranking them eighth in professional baseball.

Dustin May has pitched a total of 353 innings throughout his career, recording 324 strikeouts. His ERA stands at 3.95, having allowed 155 earned runs, while holding a WHIP of 1.209. He has given up 303 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and has issued 124 walks. May has a career win-loss record of 21-22 and faces an average of 1,481 batters in the league.

The Pittsburgh Pirates average a team slugging percentage of .401 and score 4.76 runs per game (fifth in the league). With 224 doubles and 535 walks, they have accumulated 719 runs and hit 171 home runs this season. The Pirates have struck out 1,405 times (fourth in the league) and totaled 1,312 hits. Their on-base percentage is .330, with a batting average of .253 this season.

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.301 and a FIP of 3.86. Their K/BB ratio stands at 9.20 (1,377 strikeouts against 549 walks), ranking 12th in the league for total hits allowed with 1,203. They have conceded 145 home runs and allow 4.66 runs per nine innings (20th in the league). The Pirates’ pitching staff has given up 697 runs this season, with an ERA of 4.18.

The Pirates’ bullpen has inherited 32.3% of 186 base runners they’ve faced. The relievers have appeared in 144 high-pressure situations and have come to the mound 126 times with runners on base. With 130 save opportunities, the Pirates have recorded 71 holds but also suffered 23 blown saves, ranking 21st in the MLB with a save rate of 59.6%. They have used 490 relief pitchers up to this point in the season.

Pittsburgh has completed 124 double plays and currently holds a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in professional baseball). They have tallied 1,200 assists, 92 errors, and a total of 4,042 putouts this season. Across 12,126 innings played, they exhibit a defensive efficiency of 69.1%, placing them 25th in Major League Baseball.

Khristian Curtis has allowed 9 hits and achieved 7 strikeouts in 14 innings during his MLB career. Curtis boasts a record of 1-0, an ERA of 5.14, and allows 5.8 hits per nine innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 8 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.214. His FIP is 5.1, and he has faced 57 batters throughout his professional career.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Expert Analysis: Bet on Milwaukee (-122)

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Pick: Milwaukee Brewers (-122)
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