- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
- Broadcast: SportsNet Pittsburgh
- Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-152) Pittsburgh (+126)
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This game takes place at PNC Park, where the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-47) aim to secure a win against the Milwaukee Brewers (59-34) on Saturday. The moneyline indicates Milwaukee at -152 and Pittsburgh at +126, with the total runs expected set at 8.5. Pitching for this matchup will be Shane Drohan and Bubba Chandler.
The Brewers have achieved a total of 166 doubles and 86 home runs as a unit. With a slugging percentage of .398, they have also struck out 759 times while earning 382 walks. As a collective, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring an average of 5.1 runs per game, placing them 4th in the league. They’ve amassed 450 RBIs and 808 hits to date, maintaining a team batting average of .255. Their total run count stands at 476, with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .337.
The Brewers possess a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.99, and their pitching team showcases a collective WHIP of 1.16. They have allowed 90 home runs and have given up a total of 339 runs, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Milwaukee pitchers have permitted 665 hits (averaging 7.2 per 9 innings) and 309 earned runs this season. The Brewers have recorded an impressive ERA of 3.33 (1st in MLB) and collectively struck out 903 batters. The staff has issued 302 walks, while their FIP stands at 3.55 for the current season.
Brewers relievers have entered games with runners on base 76 times, including 98 occurrences in high-leverage situations. They have achieved 45 holds this year (ranking 18th in the MLB) and possess a save percentage of 68.2%, having been called upon in 90 save situations. So far, they have secured 30 saves, with 14 failures out of 44 chances. The bullpen has inherited 109 runners, with 37.6% scoring. This season, the Brewers have sent 283 relief pitchers to the mound.
With a defensive efficiency of 71.5% from 7,512 innings played, the Brewers rank 5th in professional baseball. They have made 2,504 putouts along with 716 assists and recorded 38 errors, boasting a fielding percentage of .988, which positions them 6th among major league teams. Additionally, they have completed 68 double plays.
Drohan has pitched 63 innings throughout his career, accumulating 61 strikeouts. With a career record of 4-2, he holds a FIP of 2.95 and has faced 267 major league batters. His earned run average stands at 2.99 (having allowed 21 earned runs) and he owns a career WHIP of 1.250, allowing 59 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) while issuing 20 walks.
On the other hand, Pittsburgh has recorded 120 home runs this season alongside 472 RBIs. They have achieved 148 doubles, earned 356 walks, and scored 492 runs in total. The Pittsburgh Pirates maintain a team OBP of .340 and a batting average of .262 this season. They hold a slugging percentage of .423 and are averaging 5.23 runs per game, currently ranked 3rd in the league. Striking out 882 times, they rank 2nd in MLB and have accumulated 857 hits.
The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.314, and a FIP of 4.03 as a pitching staff this year. They rank 18th in the league for hits allowed, conceding 763 hits. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has allowed 459 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.32 (with 403 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands impressively at 9.20 (858 strikeouts vs 340 walks). They have surrendered 100 home runs and allow an average of 4.92 runs per 9 innings, ranking 21st in MLB.
With 78 save chances, the Pirates have registered 43 holds and have experienced 17 blown saves. Their relievers have been called into 34 save situations, successfully converting 17 into saves. The Pirates’ bullpen has an inherited scoring percentage of 30.6% out of 124 inherited runners and has appeared in 84 high-leverage situations and 87 times with runners on. Currently, they rank 28th in the league with a save percentage of 50.0%, dispatching 300 relievers onto the field this year.
Throughout their 7,557 innings played, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 69.1%, placing them 24th in professional baseball. They have turned 71 double plays and hold a .983 fielding percentage, ranking 21st in the league. The Pirates have achieved 742 assists, committed 56 errors, and recorded 2,519 putouts thus far this season.
Chandler, with a career record of 7-9, has an ERA of 4.64 and averages 7.6 hits allowed per 9 innings. His career strikeout-to-walk ratio is 1.96, with 524 batters faced throughout his professional career. So far, he has conceded 62 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.313, with a FIP of 4.6. Throughout his career, Chandler allowed 102 hits while recording 110 strikeouts over 120 innings pitched.
Who will take home the victory in tonight’s MLB matchup, either against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Pittsburgh (+126) and the under on 8.5 runs
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