Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Analysis, 7/9/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Analysis, 7/9/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Scheduled Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
  • Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
  • Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
  • Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-150) St. Louis (+125)

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On Thursday, the Milwaukee Brewers (58-33) will visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (47-43). The current odds favor Milwaukee at -150, while St. Louis is positioned at +125. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8 runs, with Logan Henderson and Andre Pallante serving as the starting pitchers.

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The Brewers have recorded 163 doubles and hit 84 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .398, Milwaukee has struck out 742 times and drawn walks 377 times. As a team, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, placing them 4th in the MLB. They have amassed 441 RBIs alongside 789 hits, holding a team batting average of .255 and a .337 on-base percentage with 467 total runs scored.

The Brewers’ pitching staff boasts an impressive ERA of 3.21, leading the MLB. They have struck out 889 batters and allowed 87 home runs, totaling 330 runs given up (1st in the league). With 299 walks issued and a FIP of 3.54, Milwaukee has limited opponents to 653 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and 292 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.97, complemented by a collective WHIP of 1.16.

This season, Milwaukee’s bullpen has faced 74 situations with runners on base and has participated in 98 high-pressure moments. They hold 44 holds this season, ranking 18th in MLB, with a save rate of 68.2% after entering 89 save situations. The relievers have recorded 30 saves but have blown 14 saves out of 44 opportunities, inheriting 106 base runners, with 35.8% scoring. Overall, the Brewers have used 273 relief pitchers in 2023.

Defensively, the Brewers have tallied 2,448 putouts, 696 assists, and 37 errors. Their current fielding percentage is .988, placing them 6th in baseball, and they’ve executed 68 double plays. Milwaukee has converted 71.4% of balls put in play into outs over 7,305 innings, ranking them 5th in professional baseball.

Pitcher Logan Henderson has thrown 48 innings, recording 63 strikeouts with an impressive earned run average of 2.25 (12 earned runs). He has a WHIP of 1.019 and has permitted 35 hits (6.5 hits per nine innings) while issuing 14 walks. Henderson holds a career win-loss record of 5-1 and a FIP of 2.21 against 189 batters in the majors.

The St. Louis Cardinals have achieved a .322 on-base percentage and a season batting average of .245. They have struck out 695 times (27th in the league) and secured 741 hits. The team has hit 102 home runs, driving in 399 RBIs. St. Louis has a slugging percentage of .393, averaging 4.57 runs per game (14th in the league). They’ve hit 124 doubles, drawing 292 walks, and scoring 411 runs.

The Cardinals’ pitching staff carries a team WHIP of 1.341 with a FIP of 4.21 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 7.50 (674 strikeouts against 304 walks). They rank 23rd in the league for hits allowed, giving up 773 total hits and 91 home runs, allocating 4.57 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). So far, St. Louis has allowed 408 runs, maintaining a team ERA of 4.19 (with 374 earned runs allowed).

The St. Louis bullpen has a 36.0% inherited score rate from 150 inherited base runners. Their relievers have appeared 104 times in high-stakes situations and 102 times with runners on base. With 107 save situations, they have notched 62 holds and suffered 15 blown saves. Ranking 16th in MLB, they achieve a save rate of 64.3% and have deployed 306 relievers this year.

Turning to defensive stats, the Cardinals have turned 81 double plays this season, posting a .986 fielding percentage (13th in MLB). They have tallied 844 assists, committed 45 errors, and amassed 2,411 putouts. Over the span of their 7,233 innings, the Cardinals’ efficiency rate is 69.6% (18th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Andre Pallante has surrendered 561 hits while racking up 391 strikeouts over 555 innings pitched. He has given up 259 earned runs and holds a WHIP of 1.384, with a FIP of 4.10. Pallante’s K/BB ratio stands at 1.89, facing 2,381 batters during his professional career. He holds a career mark of 34-34 and has an earned run average of 4.20, allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Recommendation: Bet on St. Louis (+125)

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Pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+125)
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