- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: FOX
- Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-154) Tampa Bay (+128)
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The Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) are set to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) at Tropicana Field on Wednesday for Game 5 of the World Series. The Brewers currently lead the series 3-1. The moneyline for this encounter shows Milwaukee at -154, while Tampa Bay opens at +128. The over/under for this game is 7 runs. Expected starters include Jacob Misiorowski and Nick Martinez.
The Brewers have recorded 279 doubles this season and hit 154 home runs. They hold a slugging percentage of .403 and have been struck out 1,383 times, while drawing 668 walks. Averaging 5.1 runs per game, the Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league, with a total of 788 RBIs and 1,422 hits this season, posting a batting average of .258 and an on-base percentage of .341.
This year, the Brewers have achieved an impressive earned run average of 3.51 (2nd in the MLB), striking out 1,544 batters. Their pitching staff has allowed 171 home runs and 618 total runs (4th in MLB). They’ve walked 518 hitters, with a FIP of 3.72. Giving up 1,186 hits (7.4 per 9 innings), their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.98, and the team’s WHIP stands at 1.18.
In 2026, Brewers’ relief pitchers have appeared in 509 games, inheriting 187 runners, with a 37.4% scoring rate. The bullpen has achieved 86 holds (14th in the league) and has entered games 129 times with players on base, alongside 158 high-leverage appearances. The Brewers recorded 55 saves this season while blowing 21 of their 76 save opportunities, leading to a save rate of 72.4%. They have been involved in 164 save situations overall.
The Brewers have converted 71.2% of balls in play into outs across 13,020 innings, placing them 6th in the league. They’ve amassed 4,340 putouts, 1,269 assists, and 72 errors this year, yielding a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 7th in professional baseball, and recording a total of 118 double plays.
Jacob Misiorowski (21-8 career record) has posted a FIP of 2.47, facing 938 batters. He’s allowed 147 hits (5.5 hits per nine innings) and issued 75 walks, with an earned run average of 2.51 (67 earned runs). Misiorowski’s WHIP stands at 0.924, pitching 240 innings with 339 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Tampa Bay Rays have achieved a team on-base percentage of .326 with a batting average of .258 this season. They rank 30th in strikeouts, totaling 1,145, and have 1,405 hits. With 169 home runs, they’ve driven in 700 runs and possess a slugging percentage of .402, averaging 4.54 runs per game (12th in baseball). Tampa Bay has also hit 230 doubles, earned 514 free passes, and scored 736 runs.
The Rays’ pitching staff has given up 650 runs this season, yielding a team ERA of 3.70 (594 earned runs). They’ve allowed 201 home runs and surrender 4.05 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). Their WHIP is 1.139, with a team FIP of 4.04. The Rays boast a K/BB ratio of 8.20 (1,322 strikeouts against 409 walks) and are ranked 4th in MLB in total hits allowed with 1,235.
Tampa Bay’s relievers have a 32.3% inherited score percentage from 192 inherited runners. They’ve been called to action in 163 high-leverage situations and faced runners on base 134 times. Among 194 save chances, the Rays secured 115 holds, with 20 blown saves. Their save rate of 74.4% positions them 4th in the league, and they’ve utilized 522 bullpen pitchers this season.
The Rays have executed 100 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in MLB). Throughout the season, they’ve recorded 1,279 assists, 92 errors, and a total of 4,329 putouts over 12,987 innings. Their defensive efficiency stands at 72.3%, leading the league.
In his career, Nick Martinez has allowed 1,106 hits and accumulated 779 strikeouts over 1,120 innings. With a win-loss record of 63-65, Martinez has a 3.99 ERA and permits 8.9 hits per nine innings, having allowed a total of 496 earned runs. His WHIP is 1.269, while his FIP stands at 3.9. He has faced 4,709 hitters in his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Choice: Back Tampa Bay (+128)
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