- Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Betting Odds: Minnesota (+9.5)
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The Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) are set to face the San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at Frost Bank Center this Wednesday for Game 2 of the Western Conference Semifinals, with the Timberwolves currently leading the series 1-0. The Spurs are favored by 9.5 points, with an over/under set at 215.5.
The Timberwolves emerged victorious in Game 1, winning 104-102. In terms of fouls, Minnesota recorded 22 while San Antonio had 25. The Timberwolves struggled from behind the arc, hitting only 10 of 36 three-point attempts. The Spurs converted 14 of 18 free throws, achieving a 77.8% success rate. On the boards, San Antonio gathered 47 rebounds (13 offensive and 34 defensive) along with 5 blocks and 24 assists, while forcing 14 turnovers for 4 steals. Defensively, Minnesota allowed the Spurs to shoot 44.8% (39 of 87), compiled 20 assists, forced 14 turnovers, and registered 7 steals. The Timberwolves grabbed 46 rebounds, 12 of which were offensive, and shot 57.1% from the line, making 12 of 21 attempts. They concluded the game with a field goal percentage of 45.6% (41 of 90) and made 10 of 26 shots from three-point range.
Julius Randle was a crucial player in this matchup. He posted a shooting percentage of 40.0% and logged 2 assists, playing for 41 minutes and securing 10 rebounds. Randle finished with 21 points on 8 of 20 shooting.
Minnesota enters this matchup with a season record of 49-33, averaging 118.0 points per game (7th in the NBA) while shooting 48.1% from the field. The Timberwolves excel from three-point range, making 37.0% of their attempts (1,128 of 3,049) and enjoy a free throw success rate of 75.2%. The team averages 44.1 rebounds per game and has distributed a total of 2,138 assists this season, ranking 16th in NBA. On the flip side, they average 14.8 turnovers per game and commit 21.2 personal fouls per matchup.
Defensively, the Timberwolves force 15.0 turnovers per game and draw 20.5 fouls. They limit opponents to 35.5% from three-point territory while ranking 12th in points allowed per game (114.6). Opponents shoot 46.2% from the floor against them, tallying a total of 3,395 made baskets out of 7,352 attempts, and the Timberwolves give up 43.7 rebounds per game, ranking 10th in assists given up with 2,136 this season.
Despite a solid defense, the Spurs fell short in Game 1. They managed to secure 34 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds, totaling 47 for the game, while committing 14 turnovers and achieving 4 steals. Minnesota’s 22 fouls allowed the Spurs to attempt 18 free throws, converting 14 for a 77.8% shooting percentage. San Antonio struggled from beyond the arc, shooting only 27.8% (10 of 36). In the final stats, the Spurs shot 44.8% (39 of 87) from the field. Overall, they faced 41 of 90 attempts (45.6%) from Minnesota. San Antonio’s performance from three-point range ended at 38.5% (10 of 26), and they shot 57.1% (12 of 21) from the free throw line, conceding 46 rebounds (12 offensive) to the Timberwolves.
On the bright side, Dylan Harper contributed significantly for the Spurs, scoring 18 points in 29 minutes of play, alongside 4 assists. His field goal percentage was an impressive 53.8%, hitting 7 of 13 shots, and he also secured 4 rebounds.
San Antonio boasts a robust record of 62-20 this season. Offensively, the Spurs shoot 48.3% from the field, ranking 6th league-wide. They’ve accumulated 9,826 total points, averaging 119.8 points per game while collecting 47.0 rebounds. The team’s unselfish play is evident with an average of 28.1 assists per game (9th in the league) and commit 13.5 turnovers each game. San Antonio averages 18.9 personal fouls and converts 78.7% from the charity stripe.
Defensively, the Spurs concede 35.2% from three-point range (1,066 of 3,028) and allow opponents a 79.0% free throw rate. They allow an average of 26.2 assists and 42.6 rebounds per game, ranking 12th and 8th in those categories. The Spurs are 8th in points per game allowed, at 111.5. You’ll find their defensive efforts also force 13.0 turnovers per game while they let opponents shoot 45.1% from the floor, ranking 4th overall.
What’s the prediction for tonight’s parlay?
Pick: Take San Antonio (-9.5)
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