- Matchup: Missouri State Bears vs Texas A&M Aggies
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Venue: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN+
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Aggies favored by 41.5 points
- Over/Under Total: 53.5 points
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The Texas A&M Aggies (11-2 in the previous season) are set to host the Missouri State Bears (7-6 last season) at Kyle Field on Saturday, September 5, 2026. The Aggies enter the match as heavy 41.5-point favorites, with the total set at 53.5 points.
The Missouri State Bears concluded the previous season with a record of 7-6. In their most recent game, the Bears faced the Arkansas State Red Wolves, resulting in a loss with a final score of 34-28. Defensively, the Bears allowed 71 rushing yards on 25 attempts, averaging 2.8 yards per rush. Through the air, they permitted 17 completions on 31 passes for a total of 288 yards at a completion rate of 54.8%. Over the course of the game, the Bears recorded 72 plays, accumulating 396 total yards. On offense, they rushed the ball 37 times but could only manage 47 yards, averaging a mere 1.3 yards per carry.
In terms of scoring, the Missouri State Bears averaged 25.6 points per game. Their rushing attack averaged 112.5 yards per game, placing them 118th nationally. Over the previous season, the Bears racked up a total of 5,099 yards. They achieved 30 passing touchdowns alongside 12 rushing touchdowns and accumulated 267 first downs as a team, though penalties totaling 865 yards (99 infractions) hindered their performance. They gave up the football 18 times during the year.
Defensively, the Bears struggled, ranking 92nd nationally, allowing 28.8 points per game. They conceded an average of 4.6 yards per rush and allowed opponents to gain 153.3 rushing yards per game, totaling 1,993 rushing yards over 13 games. In passing defense, they allowed 2,984 yards, ranking 96th in the country, and permitted 229.5 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 64.2%. Overall, they surrendered 382.8 yards per game, ranking 78th nationally, with 20 passing touchdowns and 26 rushing touchdowns allowed.
The Aggies finished last season with an impressive 11-2 record. In their final game, they faced the Miami Hurricanes, suffering a narrow defeat with a score of 10-3. On the ground, Texas A&M averaged 2.5 yards per rush, totaling 89 yards on 35 attempts. Overall, they amassed 326 yards through 75 plays, averaging 4.3 yards per play. The Aggies’ secondary allowed a 66.7% completion rate, yielding 103 yards on 14 completions out of 21 attempts through the air. Defensively, they gave up 175 rushing yards on 28 attempts, averaging 6.3 yards per rush.
The Texas A&M Aggies posted a commendable average of 444.5 yards per game, ranking 23rd in college football. Their offensive penalties amounted to 789 yards across 94 infractions, placing them 20th nationally in giving away yardage. They averaged 184.7 rushing yards per game with a total of 2,401 rushing yards for the season. Despite throwing 14 interceptions and allowing 5 fumble recoveries, they achieved 293 first downs. In terms of scoring, the Aggies ranked 19th in Division I, averaging 33.8 points per game. They accumulated 3,377 passing yards, averaging 259.8 yards per game, which placed them 32nd in the country.
Defensively, the Aggies allowed 21.0 points per contest, ranking 36th in Division I. They gave up a total of 1,700 rushing yards (130.8 yards per game) and allowed 13 rushing touchdowns last season. Through the air, they surrendered 17 touchdowns and averaged 176.6 passing yards per game, placing them 16th nationally. The Aggies participated in 787 defensive plays, ranking 19th in college football for volume of plays, totaling 7 fumbles and 3 interceptions over the previous season, culminating in 273 total points allowed.
Who will emerge victorious in this Bears vs. Aggies clash against the spread?
Prediction: Back the Bears +41.5
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