Morgan Charriere vs. Felipe Lima Predictions and Odds for UFC Paris on 09/05/2026

• Morgan Charriere vs Felipe Lima: A UFC Showdown
• UFC Paris Event
• Venue: Accor Arena, Paris, France
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

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On Saturday, September 5, 2026, Morgan Charriere faces off against Felipe Lima in the Octagon at UFC Paris. The betting line lists Charriere at +160 and Lima at -183.

Morgan “The Last Pirate” Charriere boasts a record of 21 wins, 12 losses, and 1 draw. At 30 years old, he weighs 145 lbs and stands 5 feet 8 inches tall, with a reach of 69 inches. Meanwhile, Felipe “Jungle Boy” Lima, at 28 years old, holds a professional record of 14 wins and 2 losses. He also weighs 145 lbs and measures 5 feet 6 inches tall, with a reach of 68 inches. In terms of striking, Charriere lands an average of 4.02 significant strikes per minute, while Lima achieves 2.86. Charriere’s striking accuracy is 50%, compared to 45% for Lima. In defense, “The Last Pirate” absorbs 4.51 significant strikes per minute, while “Jungle Boy” takes 2.91, successfully defending against 53% and 64% of strikes, respectively.

In terms of grappling, Charriere averages 2.06 takedowns per 15 minutes but finishes only 46% of his attempts and defends against 83% of takedown attempts. Lima, on the other hand, lands a takedown 27% of the time and successfully defends against 85% of takedowns against him. Furthermore, Charriere attempts submissions at a rate of 0.3 per 15 minutes, while Lima ups the ante with 0.7 attempts per 3 rounds.

In his last performance, Morgan Charriere faced Melquizael Costa, suffering a defeat through a head kick in the first round. Costa connected on 4 out of 9 total strikes, yielding a striking percentage of 44%. Charriere landed 2 out of 4 total strikes, achieving 50% accuracy. Notably, none of his strikes aimed at the head hit the target. All strikes from both fighters occurred at distance.

Felipe Lima, in his last Octagon encounter, fought Payton Talbott and ultimately lost by unanimous decision after round 3. Talbott successfully landed 62% of his distance strikes, while Lima achieved 44% with 26 of his 58 attempts. Lima also connected on 17 of 48 significant strikes aimed at the head. In total, Talbott had 97 successful strikes out of 165 attempts, whereas Lima managed 37 out of 70.

Notable Fights to Look Out For

Another exciting bout to watch is between Losene Keita and Muhammad Naimov. Keita seeks to enhance his impressive 16-2-0 record. At 28 years old, he tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands at 5 feet 7 inches with a reach of 72 inches. Naimov, 32 years old, measures 5 feet 9 inches tall, competing at the same weight of 145 lbs and has a reach of 70 inches. Keita averages 0.80 takedowns every 15 minutes, while Naimov successfully executes a takedown 1.49 times in the same timeframe. In striking, Keita connects with 3.47 strikes per minute at a 43% accuracy, while Naimov lands 2.51 strikes per minute with a 40% accuracy.

Be sure to tune in as Ryan Spann takes on Mario Pinto in an anticipated matchup. Pinto, undefeated at 12-0-0, is 28 years old, weighs 265 lbs, and stands 6 feet 5 inches tall with a reach of 79 inches. Spann, at 24-11-0, is 35 years old, weighing 264 lbs and matching Pinto’s height and reach at 6 feet 5 inches and 79 inches. Pinto has an impressive 85% takedown defense and manages 26% takedown success. Spann completes takedowns at a 34% rate while defending against 59% of attempts. When it comes to striking, Pinto throws and absorbs 2.85 and 1.93 strikes per minute, respectively, whereas Spann receives 3.92 strikes per minute while delivering 3.11.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC event?

Pick: Choose Felipe Lima (-183)