Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo Picks and Predictions for UFC Baku on 06/27/2026: Odds Analysis

Home » Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo Picks and Predictions for UFC Baku on 06/27/2026: Odds Analysis

  • Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo
  • UFC Baku Event
  • Venue: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan
  • Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026

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This June 27, 2026, Nazim Sadykhov is set to go head-to-head against Matheus Camilo at UFC Baku. The current betting odds favor Sadykhov at -220, while Camilo is listed at +185.

Nazim “Black Wolf” Sadykhov enters the ring with a professional record of 11 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. Standing at 5’10” and weighing 155 lbs, the 32-year-old southpaw boasts a 69″ reach. His opponent, Matheus “Jaguar” Camilo, is also 5’10” and weighs in at 155 lbs. At 25 years old, Camilo has a record of 10 wins and 3 losses, with a reach measuring 69″. Notably, Sadykhov lands an impressive average of 4.79 significant strikes per minute, whereas Camilo connects on only 2.19. Sadykhov’s striking accuracy stands at 49%, while Camilo has a 43% accuracy rate. When it comes to defense, “Black Wolf” absorbs 5.49 significant strikes per minute, while “Jaguar” allows 3.25. Sadykhov successfully deflects 49% of incoming strikes, while Camilo’s defense is notably stronger at 64%.

UFC predictions and betting odds
UFC Baku Nazim Sadykhov Matheus Camilo
Opening Odds -220 +185
Record 11-2-1 10-3-0
Average Fight Time 9:43 11:52
Height 5’10” 5’10”
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 69″ 69″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.79 2.19
Striking Accuracy 49% 43%

In grappling statistics, Nazim Sadykhov takes his opponents down approximately 1.10 times every 15 minutes, with a takedown success rate of 45%, also defending against 72% of takedown attempts against him. Camilo, on the other hand, successfully executes 53% of his takedown attempts and defends 15% of the takedowns aimed at him. In terms of submission attempts, Sadykhov averages only 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes, while Camilo is more aggressive with 0.6 submissions every three rounds.

In his last matchup, Nazim Sadykhov faced Fares Ziam, suffering a defeat from a head punch while grounded in the second round. Ziam recorded 76 out of 96 total strikes landing during that bout, whereas Sadykhov managed to land only 7 of 21 strikes. In significant strikes, Ziam achieved 31 out of 49 for a striking percentage of 63%, including 21 out of 36 aimed at the head. Conversely, Sadykhov landed just 25% of his significant strikes, equating to 4 out of 16, with only one head strike connecting out of 11 attempts. A significant portion, 58% of Ziam’s strikes and 100% of Sadykhov’s, were thrown from a distance.

In his most recent Octagon performance, Matheus Camilo fought Viacheslav Borshchev and secured victory by unanimous decision after three rounds. Borshchev struck effectively at a distance, landing 98% of his significant strikes, while Camilo matched closely with 94% accuracy at distance. Camilo landed 41% of his attempted significant strikes, with a successful total of 39 out of 93, including 27 out of 79 aimed at the head. Borshchev managed to connect on 65 of 188 total significant strikes during the fight, of which 40 were aimed at the head.

Additional Matches to Watch

Another promising matchup features Asu Almabayev facing Charles Johnson. Almabayev aims to extend his impressive record of 23 wins and 3 losses. Weighing in at 125 lbs and standing 5’4″, the orthodox fighter has a reach of 65″. Charles Johnson, at 5’9″ and also weighing 125 lbs, arrives with a record of 19 wins and 8 losses. In grappling metrics, Almabayev secures 4.46 takedowns per three rounds, while Johnson averages a mere 0.51 takedowns every 15 minutes. On the striking front, Almabayev connects 2.31 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 50%, while Johnson maintains a striking accuracy of 49% with an average of 4.77 strikes landed per minute.

Another engaging bout features Brunno Ferreira against Ikram Aliskerov. Aliskerov presents a record of 17 wins and 2 losses, weighing 185 lbs and standing 6’0″ tall with a 76″ reach. In contrast, Ferreira, an orthodox fighter, stands 5’10” at 185 lbs with a record of 15 wins and 3 losses. Grappling stats show that Ikram Aliskerov defends against 85% of takedown attempts and successfully executes takedowns 60% of the time. Ferreira, however, has a takedown success rate of only 23% and defends against 61% of takedowns directed at him. Striking wise, Aliskerov absorbs 5.47 strikes per minute while delivering 6.86, with Ferreira receiving 3.91 strikes per minute while landing 3.77.

Which fighter will conquer tonight’s UFC matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Nazim Sadykhov (-220)

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Pick: Nazim Sadykhov (-220)
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