- Matchup: New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins
- Event Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
- Broadcast: CBS
- Point Spread: Dolphins +7.0
- Over/Under Total: 44.5
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The New England Patriots (4-3) will travel to Hard Rock Stadium this Sunday to face off against the Miami Dolphins (1-5). The Patriots are opening as 7-point favorites for this clash, with the total set at 44.5.
Entering this contest with a record of 4-3, the Patriots faced the Chicago Bears in their most recent game, where they lost 30-24. Quarterback Drake Maye completed 24 of 31 passes for 321 yards and 2 touchdowns, achieving a QB rating of 117.8 but also throwing an interception. Maye topped the Patriots’ rushing attack with 4 carries for 26 yards (6.5 yards per carry). Rhamondre Stevenson excelled in the receiving game, averaging 18.6 yards per catch on 5 receptions for 93 yards. The Patriots managed 70 rushing yards on 17 attempts, averaging 4.1 yards per carry, and racked up a total of 380 yards on 48 offensive plays. Defensively, the Patriots allowed 22 completions on 33 attempts for 289 yards, marking a completion percentage of 66.7%. On the ground, they conceded 116 yards on 30 carries, averaging 3.9 yards per rush.
Throughout the season, the Patriots have accumulated 2,625 total yards. They have recorded 82 first downs and incurred 55 penalties resulting in 428 yards lost. Offensively, they have scored 13 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns, but have turned the ball over 14 times (8 interceptions and 6 fumbles). The Patriots average 122.0 rushing yards, placing them 11th in the league, and score an average of 22.9 points per game.
Defensively, the Patriots have allowed 1,543 passing yards, ranking 19th in the NFL. They give up an average of 220.4 yards through the air and have a completion percentage against of 66.2%. In terms of rushing defense, they have conceded 667 yards over 7 games and given up 9 passing touchdowns alongside 6 rushing touchdowns. Overall, their opponents average 315.7 total yards per game, placing them 10th in the league, while allowing 20.4 points per game.
The Dolphins enter this matchup with a 1-5 record. In their last outing, they secured a thrilling 28-25 victory against the New York Jets. Quarterback Malik Willis threw for 208 yards on 14 completions out of 21 attempts, with 2 touchdowns and a passer rating of 130.7, without any interceptions. Leading the receiving corps was Greg Dulcich, who caught 5 passes for 86 yards (17.2 yards per reception). Running back Ollie Gordon was pivotal as well, rushing 25 times for 103 yards, averaging 4.1 yards per carry. The Dolphins compiled 360 total yards on 62 offensive plays (5.8 yards per play). Miami managed to rush for 156 yards on 41 attempts, averaging 3.8 yards per carry, while their defense allowed 108 rushing yards on 21 attempts (5.1 yards per rush) and a completion percentage of 76.7% through the air, yielding 269 yards on 23 completions out of 30 attempts.
The Miami Dolphins’ offense averages 293.5 yards per game, placing them 27th in the league. With an average of 131.5 rushing yards per game, they have amassed a total of 789 rushing yards. The team has recorded 4 interceptions while allowing 4 fumbles, and has totaled 45 first downs. They are ranked 24th in giving up free yards, having allowed 286 total yards due to 44 penalties. This season, the Dolphins have thrown for 972 yards, averaging 162.0 passing yards per game, which ranks them 30th in the league. Scoring-wise, the Dolphins rank last in the NFL with an average of just 16.3 points per game.
Defensively, the Dolphins allow 26.2 points per game, putting them 25th in the league. They have conceded 14 passing touchdowns and an average of 227.5 passing yards per game, ranking 19th. The Dolphins have surrendered a total of 661 rushing yards (110.2 yards per game) and 4 rushing touchdowns this season. On defense, they have been on the field for 353 plays, ranking 3rd in the league, and produced 5 takeaways (1 fumble recovery and 4 interceptions), allowing a total of 157 points scored against them.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s matchup between the Patriots and Dolphins?
Prediction: Take the Dolphins +7.0
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