New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Insights, 11/6/2026 College Football Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

Home » New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Insights, 11/6/2026 College Football Predictions, Top Bets & Odds

  • Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack
  • Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
  • Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
  • TV: CBSSN
  • Odds/Point Spread: Wolf Pack (+9.5)
  • Total/Over-Under: 38

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The New Mexico Lobos (7-1) will visit Mackay Stadium on November 6, 2026, aiming for victory against the Nevada Wolf Pack (3-5). The Lobos enter as 9.5-point favorites, with a betting total set at 38.

The Lobos boast an impressive 7-1 record this season. In their recent game, they faced the San Jose State Spartans, securing a victory with a final score of 21-16. New Mexico excelled in the rushing department, running the ball 43 times for a total of 231 yards, averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Overall, they executed 58 played, amassing 342 total yards. On defense, New Mexico allowed 16 completions out of 23 attempts for 190 passing yards, resulting in a completion rate of 69.6%. Against the run, they conceded just 48 yards from 35 attempts, averaging 1.4 yards per carry.

college football picks Dominic Kelley Nevada Wolf Pack predictions best bet odds

In scoring, the Lobos average 35.0 points per game. They rank 14th nationally with an average of 213.1 rushing yards per game, accumulating a total of 2,889 yards this season. New Mexico has managed to score 9 touchdowns through the air and 25 on the ground. The team also recorded 153 first downs but faced setbacks with 54 penalties totaling 444 yards. They’ve committed 8 turnovers this season.

Defensively, the Lobos rank 17th in Division 1, allowing 1,412 passing yards. They give up 176.5 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 56.6%. On the ground, they rank 4th nationally, allowing 258.1 yards per game. The opposition has scored 8 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns against them, with an average of 2.6 rushing yards per attempt. Overall, New Mexico has allowed 653 rushing yards this season. Remarkably, they rank 1st in Division 1 for defensive performance, allowing just 11.9 points per game.

The Wolf Pack enter this confrontation with a 3-5 record this season. Their last outing ended in a disappointing 27-0 defeat against the UCLA Bruins. Nevada allowed 29 rushing attempts for 125 yards, averaging 4.3 yards per carry. Their passing defense permitted a completion percentage of 53.3%, allowing 178 yards on 16 completions out of 30 attempts. Nevada managed to accumulate only 176 yards throughout the game, running 59 plays for an average of 3.0 yards per play, and rushed for just 65 yards on 35 carries, averaging 1.9 yards per attempt.

Offensively, the Wolf Pack rank 103rd in Division 1, scoring an average of 23.0 points per game. They produce an average of 336.0 yards per outing, placing them 113th in Division 1. With 429 yards from penalties accrued over 49 infractions, they rank 86th in negative plays. Nevada has thrown 12 interceptions, allowed 4 fumbles, and recorded 142 first downs so far this season. They have passed for a total of 1,352 yards, averaging 169.0 passing yards per game, which is 126th in college football, while rushing for an average of 167.0 yards per game with a total of 1,336 rushing yards this season.

The Wolf Pack’s defense has surrendered 1,290 rushing yards (161.3 yards per game) and 10 rushing touchdowns so far. They have also given up 9 passing touchdowns while allowing 156.9 passing yards per game, ranking them 8th in college football. Throughout the season, they’ve given up a total of 181 points. Their defense has recorded 2 fumble recoveries and 1 interception this year. The Wolf Pack’s defense has been on the field for 531 plays, putting them at 72nd in Division 1. They allow an average of 22.6 points per game, positioning them 56th in the nation.

Who will triumph in this Lobos vs. Wolf Pack college football showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Choose the Lobos -9.5

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Pick: New Mexico Lobos -9.5
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