New Mexico State Aggies vs. Missouri State Bears Analysis, 11/14/2026 College Football Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Home » New Mexico State Aggies vs. Missouri State Bears Analysis, 11/14/2026 College Football Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

  • Matchup: New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears
  • Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
  • Venue: Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO
  • Broadcasting: ESPN+
  • Betting Lines: Bears (-2.0)
  • Over/Under: 48.5

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The New Mexico State Aggies (3-6) are set to visit Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Saturday, November 14, 2026, aiming to secure a victory against the Missouri State Bears (3-6). The Bears kick off as 2-point favorites with the over/under set at 48.5.

Entering this contest with a 3-6 record, the New Mexico State Aggies faced the Liberty Flames last game, suffering a loss with a scoreline of 30-14. During their last outing, they executed 51 plays, accumulating 300 yards. The Aggies managed just 44 rushing yards on 22 attempts, averaging 2.0 yards per carry. Defensively, New Mexico State conceded 147 rushing yards on 44 carries, yielding an average of 3.3 yards per attempt. In the passing game, they allowed the Flames to complete 19 of 28 passes for a total of 252 yards, resulting in a 67.9% completion rate.

college football insights Isaiah Myers Missouri State Bears predictions betting odds

The Aggies have tallied a total of 3,120 yards this season. They have achieved 13 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing touchdowns, while giving up the ball 17 times. Offensively, they have recorded 157 first downs and committed 58 penalties for 445 yards. Rushing-wise, New Mexico State averages 144.2 yards per game, placing them 86th in Division 1. They currently put up an average of 20.7 points per game.

Defensively, the Aggies rank 75th nationally, allowing 25.8 points per game. They permit opponents to rush for an average of 3.8 yards and a total of 137.2 rushing yards per game, totaling 1,235 rushing yards allowed in 9 games. In terms of pass defense, New Mexico State has allowed 1,925 yards, ranking them 62nd in the country, averaging 213.9 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 63.6%. Overall, they concede an average of 351.1 yards per game, placing them 61st at the FBS level, and have allowed 7 passing touchdowns along with 18 rushing touchdowns this season.

The Missouri State Bears enter this game with a 3-6 record. In their previous game, they faced defeat against the FIU Panthers, losing 23-20. The Bears recorded 77 rushing yards on 33 carries, averaging just 2.3 yards per rush. With 69 total plays, they finished the game with 308 yards (4.5 yards per play). Their defense surrendered a completion percentage of 69.0%, allowing 234 yards on 20 of 29 passing attempts, while giving up 260 yards on 42 rushing attempts at an average of 6.2 yards per carry.

Missouri State’s offense averages 354.9 yards per game, ranking them 98th nationally. They have accumulated 599 penalty yards from 75 infractions, placing them 16th in Division 1 in terms of penalties. Rushing-wise, they average 121.6 yards per game, totaling 1,094 rushing yards this season. The Bears have thrown 7 interceptions and fumbled 3 times while notching 168 first downs. When it comes to scoring, they rank 99th, averaging 23.9 points per game. This season, Missouri State has accumulated 2,100 passing yards, averaging 233.3 passing yards per game, which ranks them 65th in the nation.

This season, Missouri State has allowed 1,577 rushing yards (175.2 yards per game) along with 17 rushing touchdowns. In terms of passing defense, they have given up 16 touchdowns and 249.2 passing yards per game, ranking them 120th in the nation. Overall, they have conceded 270 points this season. Their defense has managed to force 6 fumbles and intercept 4 passes. The Bears have been on the field for 633 plays, ranking 118th in Division 1, averaging 30.0 points allowed per game, which positions them 112th nationally.

Who will take the victory in tonight’s Aggies vs. Bears college football matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on the Aggies +2.0

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Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +2.0
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