- Matchup: New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats
- Event Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
- Venue: Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, Huntsville, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN2
- Betting Odds: Bearkats (+2.5)
- Total Points Over/Under: 44.5
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On October 21, 2026, Elliott T. Bowers Stadium will host the Sam Houston Bearkats (1-5) as they aim to secure a victory against the New Mexico State Aggies (2-4). Sam Houston enters this contest as 2.5-point underdogs according to sports betting odds, and the total points line is set at 44.5.
The New Mexico State Aggies bring a 2-4 record into this matchup. In their previous game against the FIU Panthers, the Aggies faced a setback, losing 22-3. They managed to carry the ball 28 times for 107 yards, averaging 3.8 yards per attempt. Throughout the game, they executed 58 offensive plays for a total of 230 yards. Defensively, New Mexico State allowed the Panthers to complete 13 of 22 passes for 120 yards, leading to a completion percentage of 59.1%. When it came to stopping the run, they conceded 100 yards on 44 carries, averaging just 2.3 yards per attempt.

In terms of scoring, the Aggies average 23.7 points per game. The team has accumulated 142.8 rushing yards per contest, ranking them 90th in the nation. This season, they’ve amassed a total of 2,240 yards. New Mexico State has scored 9 touchdowns through the air and 6 on the ground. With 112 first downs, they have also incurred 40 penalties totaling 307 yards and have turned the ball over 11 times.
On the defensive side, the Aggies have allowed 1,334 passing yards, placing them 64th in Division 1, with an average of 222.3 yards surrendered per game and a completion percentage of 64.1%. Overall, they are giving up 347.8 yards per game, which ranks 61st nationally. They’ve conceded 4 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns while allowing opponents to gain an average of 3.5 yards per rush, totaling 753 rushing yards over six games. New Mexico State ranks 89th in college football, allowing an average of 25.7 points per game.
The Bearkats enter this game with a record of 1-5 in the current season. In their latest performance, they fell to the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers with a score of 16-3. In that matchup, Sam Houston managed a meager 2.4 yards per carry, finishing with 65 rushing yards on 27 attempts. They compiled a total of 177 yards from 57 plays, averaging 3.1 yards per play. Their defense allowed a completion percentage of 48.4%, giving up 132 yards on 15 of 31 passing attempts. Sam Houston’s defense conceded 144 yards on 43 rushing attempts (3.3 yards per carry).
On offense, the Sam Houston Bearkats average 342.0 yards per game, positioning them at 108th in Division 1. This season, they have accumulated 404 penalty yards due to 47 infractions, ranking them 45th in the nation. They average 95.0 rushing yards per game, totaling 570 rushing yards this season, and have thrown 5 interceptions while allowing one fumble recovery. With 103 first downs, the Bearkats rank 124th in scoring, averaging just 19.5 points per game. They’ve also recorded 1,482 passing yards with an average of 247.0 yards per game, placing them 51st nationally.
Defensively, the Bearkats allow 24.5 points per game, ranking them 77th in the nation. They’ve given up a staggering 1,202 rushing yards (200.3 yards per game) and 10 rushing touchdowns this season. In terms of passing defense, they’ve conceded 7 touchdowns and allow an average of 137.8 yards per game, ranking them 4th in Division 1. The Bearkats’ defense has remained active on the field for 391 plays this season, ranking them 34th overall in Division 1. They have forced 2 fumbles and recorded 5 interceptions, allowing a total of 147 points this season.
Which team will emerge victorious in the Aggies vs. Bearkats college football game against the spread?
Recommendation: Take the Bearkats +2.5
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