- Matchup: New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC
- Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: Apple TV
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On Wednesday, the 5 Stripes (8-11-12) travel to Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY, to face NYCFC (8-6-17). NYCFC is favored at -152, while the 5 Stripes are listed at +126. The over/under for this match is set at 3 goals. Goalkeepers Tomas Romero and Lucas Hoyos will protect the nets for their respective teams.
NYCFC ranks 17th in expected goals with a total of 20.2, while their expected goals against stand at 22.5. The team has conceded 43 goals, averaging 1.39 goals per 90 minutes, and faced 145 shots on target. Their goal differential is +1, scoring 44 goals and allowing 43. They have achieved 5 clean sheets this season, translating to a clean sheet percentage of 16.1%. With 101 saves and a season save rate of 70.3%, New York City FC has accumulated 51 yellow cards and 1 red card this year. The team averages 1.13 points per game, totaling 35 points, and ranks 20th in Major League Soccer with 30 assists.
Atlanta United FC has netted 37 goals this season, with their expected goals sitting at 21.8. They allow 1.74 goals per 90 minutes and have recorded 72 saves while posting 4 clean sheets. Their save percentage is 57.1% against 126 shots on target, placing them at 28th in the league with 30 points. Atlanta ranks 18th in goals conceded (54), resulting in a goal differential of -17. Their clean sheet percentage is at 12.9%, and they’ve received 68 yellow cards. The United average 1.0 points per match while providing 25 assists and receiving 1 red card.
Tomas Romero will be the guardian of the goal for New York City. With 6,192 minutes played in his career, Romero has racked up 209 saves. Holding a career record of 21 wins, 14 draws, and 32 losses, he boasts 11 shutouts and a shutout percentage of 16.0%. The El Salvador goalkeeper has faced 334 shots in 67 career starts, allowing an average of 1.82 goals per 90 minutes (totaling 125 goals conceded) and achieving a save percentage of 62.6%.
For Atlanta, Lucas Hoyos will be the one to defend the net. In his professional career, Hoyos has given up 260 goals and has made 590 saves over 242 starts. His save percentage stands at 69.4%, and he has a clean sheet rate of 35.4%. Allowing 1.07 goals per 90 minutes, Hoyos has a career record of 94-65-83 and has achieved 86 clean sheets while facing 850 shots over 21,850 minutes.
Agustin Ojeda is a key player for New York City who could impact the game’s outcome. With 70 starts in his career, Ojeda averages 0.17 goals per 90 minutes, tallying 12 goals in 6,235 minutes. He has also provided 18 assists, totaling 42 points throughout his career.
For Atlanta, Aleksei Miranchuk is a player that coaches must consider when planning for this match. The Russian midfielder has played 27,632 minutes, amassing 70 goals. Averaging 0.23 goals per 90 minutes, Miranchuk has been a starter in 300 matches, accumulating 199 career points and assisting on 59 goals.
Who will triumph in tonight’s soccer matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Opt for Atlanta United FC (-152)
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