- Matchup: New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: Prime Video
- Betting Odds: New York (+3.5)
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The New York Liberty (16-12) head to Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday to challenge the Las Vegas Aces (19-8). The Aces enter this matchup as 3.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 177.5.
In their previous game, the New York Liberty triumphed over the Los Angeles Sparks with a final score of 113-109. New York posted a 58.6% shooting percentage (41 of 70) and nailed 17 of their 32 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, they converted 14 of 16 free throws, achieving an 87.5% success rate. The Liberty secured 28 rebounds in total, with 7 coming from the offensive end, and dished out 27 assists. They also created 15 turnovers while securing 10 steals. Defensively, New York allowed their opponents to hit 60.3% of their shots from the field, finishing at 44 for 73. The Sparks recorded 21 rebounds (2 offensive, 19 defensive) and managed 1 block during the game, while cashing in 71.4% of their free throw attempts (5 of 7) and making 16 of 31 three-point shots.
Breanna Stewart was pivotal in the victory, scoring 29 points on 11 of 19 shooting. She played 37 minutes and grabbed 4 rebounds, shooting 57.9% overall and contributing 7 assists.
The Liberty enter this game with a record of 16-12 in the current season. They have been shooting at 35.4% from beyond the arc (287 of 810) and 85.0% from the free throw line. Averaging 89.4 points per game, they rank fifth in the league and boast a shooting percentage of 46.0% from the field. New York turns the ball over 14.1 times per game and commits 18.8 fouls on average. As a collective, they secure 34.5 rebounds per game, with 571 assists to their credit this season, placing them 9th in the WNBA in assists. Defensively, the Liberty force their opponents into 11.4 turnovers per game while committing 21.1 personal fouls. They allow an opponent shooting percentage of 45.1% (318 of 592) and concede 31.5 rebounds per game. They rank 12th in the WNBA in assists given up, with 604 overall. The Liberty opponents hit 34.9% of their three-point attempts, and New York is ranked 8th in PPG allowed at 87.0.
In their last game, the Las Vegas Aces secured a victory with a score of 98-83 against the Portland Fire. The Aces recorded a total of 30 rebounds, including 28 defensive boards and 2 offensive boards. They turned the ball over 12 times but recorded 7 steals. The Fire were called for 23 fouls, granting the Aces 26 free throw attempts, of which they successfully converted 23, achieving an 88.5% free throw percentage. From three-point range, the Aces made 9 of 22 shots (40.9%). They finished with a shooting percentage of 57.9% from the field, hitting 33 of 57 attempts. The Aces allowed the Fire to score on 27 of 68 shots (39.7%) and they converted 9 of 31 three-point attempts, resulting in a 29.0% rate. At the free throw line, they converted 20 out of 25 attempts (80.0%) and allowed Portland to pull down 33 rebounds overall (12 offensive).
A’ja Wilson was crucial for the Aces, scoring 28 points on 7 of 10 shooting, along with 14 rebounds in her 30 minutes on the court, and assisted 4 times in the game.
Las Vegas boasts a season record of 19-8 thus far. The Aces average 17.7 fouls per game and shoot 79.1% from the free throw line. Their assist rate stands at 22.4 per game, ranking second in the WNBA, while their turnovers average 11.8 per game. This season, Las Vegas has scored 2,464 points (91.3 per game) and grabs 34.1 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive efficiency, they’re shooting 49.3% from the field, the best in the league. Defensively, the Aces rank 6th in the WNBA, allowing 86.2 points per game, with 18.9 assists and 33.3 rebounds given up, ranking them 2nd and 8th in the league, respectively. The Aces’ defense allows a 3-point shooting percentage of 34.8% (244 of 701), with opposing teams converting 79.9% on free throws. They force 12.1 turnovers per game and limit their opponents to a shooting percentage of 43.8% from the field (5th in the league).
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA contest against the spread?
Prediction: Choose New York (+3.5)
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