New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Analysis, 7/28/2026 WNBA Insights, Tips, and Odds

Home » New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Analysis, 7/28/2026 WNBA Insights, Tips, and Odds
 

  • Matchup: New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks
  • Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
  • Venue: crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
  • Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
  • Betting Odds: New York (-4.5)

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The New York Liberty (15-12) are set to visit crypto.com Arena this Tuesday to compete against the Los Angeles Sparks (10-16). The Liberty are entering this matchup as 4.5 point favorites, with a total set at 183.5.

In their previous outing, the New York Liberty triumphed over the Chicago Sky with a close score of 95-94. New York concluded the game with a field goal percentage of 40.8% (29 out of 71) and successfully made 11 of their 28 attempts from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, the Liberty excelled by converting 26 of 28 for an impressive 92.9% success rate. They secured 37 rebounds, with 10 being offensive, and tallied 17 assists while forcing 9 turnovers, alongside a single steal. Defensively, New York allowed their rivals to shoot 47.9% from the floor, letting Chicago convert 34 of 71 attempts. Chicago also recorded 4 assists and 8 steals, gathering 30 rebounds (4 offensive, 26 defensive) and achieving 6 blocks. The Sky finished the game shooting 90.5% from the charity stripe, converting 19 of their 21 shots, while also making 7 of 21 attempts from three-point range.

wnba picks Sabrina Ionescu New York Liberty predictions best bet odds

Sabrina Ionescu was pivotal in the matchup, scoring 29 points on an impressive 8 out of 11 shooting. She played for 35 minutes, grabbed 4 rebounds, and dished out 4 assists while maintaining a field goal percentage of 72.7%.

The Liberty come into this game with a record of 15-12 for the season. They average 88.5 points per game (6th in the league) while boasting a 45.5% field goal percentage. The team excels from three-point land with a conversion rate of 34.7% (270 of 778) and an impressive 84.9% at the free-throw line. New York averages 34.7 rebounds per game and has accumulated 544 assists, ranking them 9th in the league for assist distribution. The Liberty commit an average of 14.0 turnovers and 19.0 fouls each game. On the defensive end, they force their opponents into 11.2 turnovers per contest and average 21.3 fouls. The Liberty rank 11th for assist allowed, surrendering 569 throughout the season. They give up a field goal percentage of 44.6% (303 of 575) and allow 31.9 rebounds per game, with an opponents’ three-point shooting percentage of 34.1%. Defensively, they rank 6th in points allowed per game (86.2).

In their last game, the Los Angeles Sparks fell to the Phoenix Mercury with a score of 86-82. The Sparks tallied 27 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive, totaling 37 rebounds. However, they committed 18 turnovers while recording 5 steals. The Mercury accrued 23 personal fouls, giving the Sparks 21 free-throw attempts, of which they converted 17, a rate of 81.0%. From three-point range, Los Angeles made 9 of 28 attempts (32.1%). Ultimately, they shot 28 for 70 from the field, achieving a shooting percentage of 40.0%. Los Angeles allowed the Mercury to convert 35 of their 74 shots (47.3%) and finished with a three-point shooting percentage of 25.9%, making 7 of 27 attempts, and converting 9 of 13 free throws (69.2%). In terms of rebounding, the Sparks permitted Phoenix to grab 33 rebounds (7 on the offensive end).

Rae Burrell stepped up for the Sparks, scoring 20 points on 7 of 16 shooting, resulting in a field goal percentage of 43.8%. In her 34 minutes on the court, she also contributed 3 rebounds and 2 assists.

Los Angeles holds a record of 10-16 for the season. Offensively, they are shooting 45.8% from the floor, positioning them 5th in the league. The Sparks have scored a total of 2,295 points this year, averaging 88.3 points per game. They collect an average of 31.2 rebounds and dish out 20.9 assists per game (5th in the WNBA), while averaging 14.3 turnovers. The Sparks commit 20.5 fouls per game and convert 79.3% from the charity stripe. Defensively, Los Angeles is ranked 15th in points allowed per game, yielding 93.3. They allow an average of 22.5 assists and 35.5 rebounds per game, placing them 14th and 13th in the league, respectively. The Sparks’ defense allows 33.5% shooting from three-point range (237 of 708) and opponents to achieve 78.8% from the free-throw line. They force an average of 13.7 turnovers but allow teams to shoot 47.6% from the field (14th in the league).

Who will take home the victory in tonight’s WNBA battle against the spread?

Prediction: Back New York (-4.5)

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Pick: New York Liberty (-4.5)
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