- Matchup: New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx
- Event Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: ABC
- Betting Odds: New York Liberty (+5.5)
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The Minnesota Lynx (16-6) are set to face off against the New York Liberty (13-9) at Target Center this Saturday. Currently, the Lynx are favored by 5.5 points, with a total points line of 175.5.
The Liberty recently competed against the Dallas Wings, unfortunately falling short with a scoreline of 88-77. During this match, New York achieved a shooting accuracy of 40.0%, going 26 out of 65, and managed to hit 5 out of 26 three-point shots. From the free throw line, they excelled by converting 20 out of 22 attempts, yielding a solid 90.9% success rate. In terms of rebounds, New York collected 34 in total, including 7 offensive boards. They also provided 16 assists in conjunction with 9 turnovers and 3 steals. Defensively, the Liberty allowed their opponents a field goal shooting percentage of 46.1%, allowing Dallas to shoot 35 out of 76. The Wings contributed 10 assists and 3 steals during the game, while grabbing 38 rebounds (10 offensive, 28 defensive) and registering 5 blocks. Dallas exhibited flawless free throw shooting, with 12 of 12 makes. From beyond the arc, they connected on 6 out of 23 tries.
Breanna Stewart has been a standout performer, contributing 29 points on 10 out of 16 shooting while logging 33 minutes and securing 9 rebounds. Her field goal percentage was an impressive 62.5%, and she also provided 4 assists.
The New York Liberty head into this game with a season record of 13-9. They are scoring an average of 87.8 points per game, ranking 7th in the WNBA, with a field goal percentage of 46.2%. The Liberty’s three-point shooting stands at 35.2%, having made 219 of 622 attempts, and they boast an impressive 85.3% from the charity stripe. Collectively, New York grabs 34.5 rebounds per game and has accumulated 455 assists throughout the season, placing them 5th in the league for assists. They commit an average of 14.2 turnovers per game and 19.2 fouls. Defensively, the Liberty force their opponents into an average of 10.7 turnovers per game and draw 20.9 fouls. Their defense allows an opponent shooting percentage of 43.7% (236 of 459) and they yield 31.6 rebounds per game, ranking 12th in assists allowed, with a total of 453 so far this season. They limit opponents to a 3-point shooting percentage of 31.8% and rank 4th in the WNBA for points allowed per game at 83.8.
In their last outing, the Minnesota Lynx emerged victorious against the Connecticut Sun, winning 86-80. The Lynx secured 24 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards, totaling 33 for the game. They turned the ball over 14 times, while successfully making 8 steals. The Sun committed 20 fouls, allowing the Lynx to take 27 free throw attempts, converting 20 for a success rate of 74.1%. From beyond the arc, Minnesota made 10 of 22 attempts (45.5%), and they shot 28 for 60 overall from the field, achieving a shooting percentage of 46.7%. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s defense held the Sun to 40.0% shooting from the field (26 of 65). They allowed 26.1% on 3-pointers, making 6 of 23 attempts, and shot 81.5% from the charity stripe, converting 22 of their 27 attempts, while permitting Connecticut to collect 36 rebounds overall (10 offensive).
Kayla McBride was a key contributor for the Lynx, shooting 6 out of 10 with a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and collecting 4 rebounds. She finished the game with 23 points in 38 minutes, also providing 4 assists.
The Minnesota Lynx carry a record of 16-6 this season. They average 19.4 personal fouls per game and shoot 79.4% from the free throw line. Their assist average is 21.4 per game, ranking 3rd in the WNBA, while they average 13.4 turnovers. With a total of 1,980 points this season, they score an average of 90.0 points per game while securing 36.3 rebounds per game. Offensively, the Lynx rank 2nd in the league with a shooting percentage of 48.0%. They also rank 2nd defensively in points allowed per game, yielding 80.7. Minnesota forces 14.7 turnovers per match and limits opposing teams to a field goal percentage of 40.7% (1st in the WNBA). Their defense allows 31.2% shooting from beyond the arc (186 of 596) and they permit 78.3% free throw shooting against them. They surrender an average of 19.3 assists and 32.8 total rebounds per game, placing them 4th and 5th in the league.
Who will cover the spread in tonight’s WNBA matchup?
Expert Prediction: Bet on New York (+5.5)
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