- Matchup: New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
- Television: ABC
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: New York Liberty (+7.5)
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The Minnesota Lynx (33-11) will host the New York Liberty (26-18) this Sunday for the opening game of their first-round series at Target Center. The Liberty enter this contest as 7.5-point underdogs, with an over/under set at 174.5 points.
In their previous matchup, the New York Liberty suffered a defeat against the Atlanta Dream, ending with a score of 83-65. New York finished the game with a shooting percentage of 36.4% (20 of 55) and made just 5 of their 29 attempts from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, the Liberty excelled, converting 20 of their 22 attempts for an impressive 90.9%. On the rebounding front, they gathered a total of 40 boards, including 7 offensive rebounds. The team recorded 15 assists, forced 6 turnovers, and made 3 steals. Defensively, the Liberty allowed the Dream to shoot 39% from the field, with Atlanta finishing the game with 12 assists and 12 steals. Atlanta’s overall shooting was 34.2%, with 10 of 35 from three-point range, and they managed to sink 13 of their 15 free-throw attempts, equating to 86.7%.
Marine Fauthoux played a pivotal role in the last game, contributing 14 points on 3 of 6 shooting in her 17 minutes on the court, alongside 3 rebounds and 4 assists.
The New York Liberty enter this match boasting a season record of 26-18. They are averaging 89.6 points per game (5th overall) on 46.0% shooting from the field. The Liberty are successful on 34.8% of their three-point attempts (449 of 1,290) and have an impressive 84.5% from the free-throw line. Collectively, New York collects 35.5 rebounds per game and has tallied 916 assists this season, ranking 7th in the WNBA for assists. They commit an average of 13.7 turnovers and 18.7 fouls per game. Defensively, the Liberty force their opponents into 11.0 turnovers while committing 20.5 fouls per game. Their opponents shoot 44.8% against them (484 of 904), and the Liberty allow 31.5 rebounds per game. They stand 11th in the league for assists allowed at 941 and give up 34.2% shooting from three-point territory, ranking 7th in points allowed at 86.4 per game.
In their last outing, the Minnesota Lynx secured a commanding victory against the Indiana Fever, finishing 86-66. They recorded 44 rebounds (34 defensive, 10 offensive) and turned the ball over 13 times while securing 4 steals. The Fever committed 13 fouls, leading to 6 free-throw attempts for the Lynx, of which they converted 5, giving them an 83.3% free-throw rate. From three-point range, Minnesota found success, making 15 of 40 attempts (37.5%). Ultimately, they shot 44.0% from the field, hitting 33 of 75 shots. On the defensive end, they allowed Indiana to shoot 34.2%, with the Fever making 25 of 73 field goals and struggling from beyond the arc at 15.6% (5 of 32). In terms of rebounding, the Lynx permitted Indiana to collect 43 boards (16 offensive).
Key player Kayla McBride made a significant impact for the Lynx, shooting 61.5% (8 of 13) and scoring 22 points in just 24 minutes, also contributing 2 rebounds and 3 assists.
Currently, Minnesota holds a strong record of 33-11. They commit an average of 18.3 fouls per game and enjoy an 81.5% free-throw percentage. The Lynx assist 21.8 times per game (3rd in the WNBA) while recording 12.6 turnovers. Throughout the season, Minnesota has scored a total of 3,997 points (90.8 per game) and grabs 34.5 rebounds per game. Offensively, they’re hitting 47.7% of their field goals, placing them 3rd in the league. Defensively, they are also ranked 3rd for points allowed per game at 83.7, forcing 14.5 turnovers and restricting opponents to a 43.5% shooting percentage. Minnesota allows a shooting percentage of 32.9% on three-point scoring and their opponents convert 77.9% of free-throw attempts. The Lynx concede 20.5 assists and 33.2 rebounds per game, ranking 7th and 6th in the WNBA, respectively.
Who will triumph in tonight’s WNBA game against the spread?
Prediction: Take New York (+7.5)
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