- Matchup: New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
- Broadcast: ABC
- Odds/Spread: New York (-2.5)
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The New York Liberty (16-13) are set to clash with the Phoenix Mercury (11-18) at the Mortgage Matchup Center on Saturday. New York is favored by 2.5 points in this encounter, with an initial over/under of 175.5 points.
In their latest outing, the Liberty faced off against the Las Vegas Aces, suffering a 104-99 defeat. New York shot an impressive 51.5% from the field (35 of 68) and converted 8 of 22 shots from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they displayed accuracy, making 21 of 25 attempts for an 84.0% success rate. On the boards, the Liberty secured 34 rebounds, including 8 offensive ones, and tallied 20 assists. They forced 10 turnovers from their opponents and recorded 9 steals. Defensively, New York allowed the Aces to shoot 51.6% from the field (33 of 64) while Las Vegas registered 3 assists and 5 steals. Las Vegas successfully shot 25 of 27 from the free-throw line, achieving a remarkable 92.6% conversion rate, along with making 13 out of 28 three-point attempts.
Breanna Stewart was a key player in the previous match, scoring 26 points with a shooting efficiency of 50.0% (10 of 20) while playing 37 minutes and grabbing 11 rebounds. She also contributed 1 assist.
New York enters this matchup with a season record of 16-13. They average 14.0 turnovers and commit 18.9 personal fouls per game. On average, the Liberty secure 34.5 rebounds and lead the league with a total of 591 assists this season. Their three-point shooting stands at 35.5% (295 of 832), while they excel at the charity stripe with a conversion rate of 84.9%. The team averages 89.7 points per game (5th in the league) with a field goal success rate of 46.2%. Defensively, New York forces 11.3 turnovers and draws 21.1 fouls, allowing opponents a shooting percentage of 45.3% (328 of 613) and giving up 31.3 rebounds per game. They rank 14th in assists allowed, surrendering 629 throughout the season, while opponents hit 35.3% of their three-point attempts. The Liberty ranks 9th in points allowed per game, conceding an average of 87.6 points.
In their last game, the Phoenix Mercury secured a narrow victory over the Golden State Valkyries, winning 91-89. The Mercury recorded 28 defensive rebounds and added 6 offensive boards for a total of 34. They committed 10 turnovers during the match while earning 3 steals. The Valkyries committed 34 fouls, sending the Mercury to the free-throw line 43 times, where they converted 32 for a 74.4% success rate. From three-point range, Phoenix made 5 of 16 attempts (31.3%). Generally, the Mercury finished with a shooting percentage of 49.1%, hitting 27 of 55 shots and allowing the Valkyries to score 31 of 76 attempts from the field (40.8%). The Mercury managed to shoot 36.4% from beyond the arc, sinking 12 of 33 attempts and going 15 of 19 at the free-throw line (78.9%). Defensively, Phoenix permitted Golden State to collect 33 rebounds, including 13 offensive boards.
Kahleah Copper stood out in the game, converting 9 of 14 shots for a field goal percentage of 64.3% while totaling 4 rebounds. She scored 27 points in 34 minutes of play and provided 4 assists.
This season, Phoenix holds a record of 11-18. The Mercury average 18.4 fouls per game and boast a free-throw success rate of 78.7%. The team averages 19.5 assists per contest (ranking 11th in the league) while committing 13.1 turnovers per game. Phoenix has tallied 2,414 points this season, averaging 83.2 points per game, and collects 31.6 rebounds on average. Their offensive efficiency allows them to shoot 44.1% from the floor, ranking 10th in the league. Defensively, the Mercury rank 6th in points allowed per game, giving up an average of 86.6 points. They also relinquish 20.9 assists and 33.6 rebounds, ranking them 11th and 9th for these stats, respectively. Opponents shoot 36.9% from beyond the arc against them (287 of 777), and they allow teams to convert 80.2% of their free throws. Phoenix forces 13.1 turnovers and allows 46.1% shooting overall from the field (9th in the league).
Who’s poised to win this WNBA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Phoenix (+2.5)
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