- Matchup: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
- Broadcast: DBACKS.TV
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (-128) | Arizona Diamondbacks (+106)
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This Friday, Chase Field will host an exciting game between the Arizona Diamondbacks (17-18) and the New York Mets (14-22). The betting odds favor the Mets at -128, while the Diamondbacks are positioned at +106. The total runs over/under is set at 8.5, featuring starting pitchers Nolan McLean and Ryne Nelson.
The Mets have achieved a total of 50 doubles and hit 30 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .352, they have been struck out 281 times, receiving 105 walks. As a unit, the New York Mets are averaging 3.7 runs per game, placing them 29th in Major League Baseball. They have amassed 125 RBIs and 277 hits so far, leading to a team batting average of .230 with an on-base percentage of .293.
The Mets’ pitching staff boasts a collective ERA of 3.94, ranking 11th in the league, with 341 strikeouts recorded. This season, Mets pitchers have allowed 32 home runs and a total of 156 runs, also ranking 11th in baseball. They have issued 122 walks with a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 3.57. The team has surrendered 288 hits (averaging 8.0 hits every 9 innings) and 142 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.80, alongside a WHIP (Walks and Hits per Innings Pitched) of 1.27.
Throughout the season, the Mets have utilized 107 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 50 baserunners, with 40.0% of them scoring. The relievers have made 12 holds (29th in MLB). Mets pitchers have faced situations with runners on base 36 times and participated in 46 high-pressure instances. They have achieved 5 saves this season, converting 5 of 10 save opportunities, resulting in a 50.0% save rate across 22 opportunities.
Defensively, the New York Mets have recorded a total of 972 putouts, accompanied by 303 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .987, placing them 12th in professional baseball, and they have successfully turned 21 double plays. The team converts 69.2% of balls in play into outs over 2,916 innings, ranking them 20th in MLB.
Nolan McLean (career record: 6-3) holds a FIP of 2.44 after facing 341 batters. He has allowed 60 hits (6.2 per nine innings) and 27 walks, with an earned run average of 2.48 from 24 earned runs allowed, and a WHIP of 0.999. Over 87 innings pitched, McLean has notched 108 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Arizona Diamondbacks showcase a team slugging percentage of .405, averaging 4.54 runs per game, which ranks 12th in the league. They have recorded 64 doubles, executed 95 walks, and amassed 159 runs. So far this season, they have totalled 34 home runs and 153 RBIs, though they rank 27th with 279 strikeouts and have achieved 283 hits. The team’s on-base percentage is .303, alongside a batting average of .244.
On the mound, the Diamondbacks have surrendered 182 runs with an ERA of 4.81, giving up 164 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season and 5.33 runs per 9 innings (ranking 27th in MLB). The team holds a WHIP of 1.374 with a FIP of 4.56. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.60 (258 strikeouts versus 121 walks), they rank 17th in total hits given up with 301.
Relief pitchers have contributed to a save percentage of 60.0%, sending 124 relievers to the mound so far. They have entered high-pressure situations 45 times and have faced baserunners on 35 occasions. In 41 save opportunities, the Diamondbacks have achieved 25 holds while enduring 6 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have made 15 appearances in save scenarios, successfully converting 9 saves, with an inherited score rate of 26.0% from 50 inherited runners.
Across 2,766 innings played, the Diamondbacks maintain a defensive efficiency rate of 70.1%, ranking 16th in MLB. Their fielding percentage is .986 (20th in MLB), having executed 22 double plays and recording 312 assists, 18 errors, and 922 putouts this season.
Career-wise, Ryne Nelson has allowed 479 hits and accumulated 398 strikeouts in 498 innings. With a career record of 27-21, Nelson holds a 4.34 ERA, allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings, and has given up 240 earned runs. His WHIP is 1.243 with a FIP of 4.3, supported by a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.84 against 2,080 total batters faced.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Back Arizona (+106)
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