- Matchup: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
- Date: Monday, July 6, 2026
- Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
- Broadcast: Braves.TV
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (+125) Atlanta Braves (-145)
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On Monday, the Atlanta Braves (52-35) will host the New York Mets (36-53) at Truist Park. The moneyline sees the Mets at +125 and the Braves starting at -145. The game total is set at 8.5 runs, with Freddy Peralta and Reynaldo Lopez expected as the starting pitchers.
The New York Mets currently hold a slugging percentage of .375, with 741 strikeouts and 267 walks this season. They have accumulated 338 RBIs and 687 hits, resulting in a batting average of .230. The team has racked up 106 doubles and 101 home runs, totaling 352 runs, and maintaining an on-base percentage (OBP) of .298. The Mets score an average of 4.0 runs per game, placing them 29th in the league.
The Mets boast a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.29. Mets pitchers have permitted 96 home runs and 414 runs total, ranking 19th in the league. They have allowed 705 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) alongside 374 earned runs. Currently, the Mets own a team ERA of 4.25 (17th in MLB), while their pitching staff has struck out 809 batters. The bullpen has issued 315 walks, maintaining a FIP of 4.00 this season.
This year, the Mets have utilized 270 relief pitchers, with 115 inherited runners, of which 31.3% have scored. The relievers have recorded 32 holds (28th in the league) and have entered games with runners on base 87 times, facing 95 high-leverage situations. So far, they have tallied 14 saves, converting 9 out of 23 save opportunities, resulting in a 60.9% save percentage.
Defensively, the Mets have completed 2,375 putouts, 723 assists, and made 56 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .982, good for 27th in MLB. They have turned 51 double plays and converted 69.7% of plays into outs across 7,125 innings, ranking them 19th in professional baseball.
Starting pitcher Freddy Peralta (career record of 75-49) has a FIP of 3.65. He has faced 4,275 batters, allowing 791 hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and 398 walks, with a career ERA of 3.70 (422 earned runs permitted) and a WHIP of 1.159. Over 1,026 innings, he has amassed 1,245 strikeouts.
The Atlanta Braves, on the other hand, maintain a team slugging percentage of .411 and an average of 4.85 runs per game (7th in the league). They have hit 131 doubles, drawn 261 walks, and scored 422 runs. The team has hit 113 home runs and recorded 411 RBIs, while finding themselves struck out 688 times (25th in MLB) on 727 hits. The Braves hold an OBP of .312 and a team batting average of .247 for the season.
As a staff, the Braves have a WHIP of 1.215 and a FIP of 3.99. They rank 3rd in MLB for the least hits allowed, with a total of 652. Atlanta’s pitching staff has surrendered 325 runs, resulting in a stellar 3.47 ERA (297 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio stands at an impressive 8.70 (742 strikeouts against 285 walks), with 94 home runs allowed, averaging 3.79 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).
With a save percentage of 76.5%, the Braves rank 4th in MLB, having sent 270 relief pitchers to the mound. Their bullpen has faced 95 save situations, recording 58 holds and 8 blown saves. Out of the 34 save chances presented to them, the Braves have secured 26 saves, with an inherited score percentage of 28.2% from 85 inherited runners.
Defensively, the Braves have turned 65 double plays and sport a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). They have recorded 711 assists, 40 errors, and achieved 2,315 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 71.7%, placing them 4th in baseball across 6,945 innings.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed 797 hits throughout his career, recording 812 strikeouts over 871 innings pitched. With a career record of 51-55, he features a 3.90 ERA while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has yielded 378 earned runs, owns a WHIP of 1.276, a FIP of 3.8, and a K/BB ratio of 2.58 across 3,678 opposing hitters faced throughout his career.
Who do you think will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Expert Prediction: Take Atlanta (-145) and the under 8.5 runs
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